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研究快訊:CFRA維持對Vale S.A.的ADSS股票的持有建議。

-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:我們上調12個月目標價至18美元,假設2027年企業價值/息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EV/EBITDA)為5.0倍(基於我們對2027年EBITDA的預期),高於淡水河谷(VALE)過去三年的平均預期/EBITDA 3.96.8由於巴西雷亞爾匯率波動,我們將2026年每股美國存託憑證(ADS)收益預期下調0.46雷亞爾至10.77雷亞爾,並將2027年預期下調0.78雷亞爾至10.97雷亞爾。淡水河谷的基本面前景依然平衡,但面臨顯著的不利因素。受中國房地產市場需求疲軟和幾內亞西芒杜鐵礦項目供應增加的影響,鐵礦石價格可能在2027年從目前水準回落。然而,淡水河谷的高端產品組合——尤其是利潤率較高的低氧化鋁細礦和球團礦——在一定程度上起到了緩衝作用。基本金屬業務也蘊藏成長潛力,預計2026年,銅和鎳的產量將分別成長13%和12%。公司維持穩健的資本配置,2025年的資本支出為55億美元,並憑藉強勁的自由現金流,維持約6%的誘人股息殖利率。

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