-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點摘要如下：鑑於第三財季業績強於預期，我們將12個月目標價下調10美元至87美元。該目標價基於我們對2027財年每股收益29倍的預期（由2026財年的45倍滾動推算而來），低於該股過去三年平均39倍的預期市盈率。我們將2026財年每股收益預期從2.16美元上調至2.22美元，並將2027財年每股收益預期從2.73美元上調至2.99美元。儘管面臨關稅成本，EL的毛利率仍提高了140個基點，營業利潤率也提高了360個基點。管理階層對2027財年的營業利益率持樂觀態度，預計中位數將提高190個基點。儘管這些業績超出預期，但我們認為成本削減是主要驅動因素，尤其是銷售點人員的減少。目前股價高於整體市場水平，除非雅詩蘭黛中國市場復甦且傳統品牌穩定，否則上漲空間有限。不過，香水業務第三季強勁的內生成長（+10%）以及2026財年更高的內生成長預期（+3%）抵銷了部分溢價。我們認為，目前的估值水準風險/回報比較為平衡。
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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Buy Opinion On Shares Of Invesco Ltd.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We trim our 12-month target price by $2 to $29, valuing IVZ shares at 9.5x our 2027 adjusted EPS estimate of $3.05 and at 10.9x our 2026 EPS estimate of $2.65 (lowered today by $0.05), versus the one-year average forward multiple of 10x and a bifurcated peer average of 16x. Invesco delivered Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.57, missing our $0.62 estimate but near the $0.58 consensus, while posting its 11th consecutive quarter of positive organic growth with $21.8B in net long-term inflows. Investment management fees surged 25.6% Y/Y to $1.38B due to the QQQ conversion benefits and higher average AUM, though service fees declined 18.6% due to QQQ's structural changes. We view the QQQ conversion as materializing as expected, contributing meaningfully to revenue growth while demonstrating IVZ's ability to capture more fee revenue from its flagship product. Currently trading at 9.7x our 2026 EPS estimate and yielding 3.3%, we view the shares as undervalued.
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Oil & Energy
US Oil Update: Futures Slide on Hopes for US-Iran Talks, Hormuz Reopening
Crude oil futures retreated in after-hours trading on Friday after reports that Iran had sent a new peace proposal to the US via Pakistani mediators, easing fears of a further supply disruption from the Middle East and raising hopes for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.Front-month West Texas Intermediate crude futures slipped by 2.45% to $102.50 per barrel, while Brent futures were down by 1.21% to $109.06/bbl.On Friday, President Trump sent letters to Congress explaining that, due to the ceasefire, he doesn't need its authorization for military operations in Iran, even though the conflict hit the 60-day mark this week."On April 7, 2026, I ordered a 2-week ceasefire. The ceasefire has since been extended. There has been no exchange of fire between United States Forces and Iran since April 7, 2026. The hostilities that began on February 28, 2026, have terminated," Trump said in letters to the House and the Senate.Trump said that despite the success of US operations against Iran and continued efforts to secure peace, the threat posed by Tehran to the US and its forces remains significant.The IRGC Navy command said it will enforce "new rules" over waters near Iran's coast in the Arabian Sea and the Hormuz, making it "a source of security and prosperity for the region."Iran reportedly sent its latest proposal for negotiations with the US to Pakistani mediators on Thursday, according to media reports, as Trump threatens to maintain the blockade of Iranian ports amid behind-the-scenes diplomacy to end the Middle East conflict.The US reportedly sent its list of amendments on Monday to reinsert the nuclear issue into the agreement under discussion, with one of the amendments demanding that Iran commit to not attempting to move any enriched uranium.On Friday, the US Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control said it could sanction vessels that pay tolls to Iran for safe transit through the Strait of Hormuz, even if those payments are made in the form of charitable donations to Iranian NGOs.The Department said Iranian demands for toll payments may include fiat currency, digital assets, offsets, informal swaps, or charitable donations made to the Iranian Red Crescent Society, Bonyad Mostazafan, or Iranian embassy accounts.Traffic through the Hormuz was cut by half on April 30 to seven crossings from the previous day, with traffic split between four commercial and three non-commercial movements, according to Kpler.
Research
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Buy Rating On Shares Of Illumina
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our 12-month price target to $161 from $140, 31x our 2026 EPS estimate (up to $5.18 from $5.13; 2027 estimate up to $5.89 from $5.81), a premium to ILMN's one-year historical forward average of 24x. We were encouraged by ex-China organic sales rising ~3.5% Y/Y in Q1, while adjusted operating margin rose 150 bps Y/Y to 21.9%. We look positively on recent Congressional action to modestly increase the National Institutes of Health (NIH) budget (~1%) rather than the dramatic cuts initially feared by investors, though ILMN's guidance implies continued pressure in academic end markets in 2026. Excluding China, sequencing consumables within research and applied was down 12% Y/Y in Q1, though clinical consumables sales rose 20% Y/Y. Positively, ILMN placed over 80 NovaSeq X instruments (up 20 Y/Y) during the quarter, indicating strong momentum.
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