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FINWIRES

研究快訊:CFRA維持對陶氏化學股票的賣出評等。

-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:我們根據13.2倍的遠期本益比、2027年每股收益預期1.67美元(目標價22美元)以及我們的現金流量折現模型預測值(目標價28美元),將12個月目標價上修7美元至25美元。由於預計2027年利潤率和需求將低於歷史水平,我們的遠期本益比低於約16倍的歷史平均水平。我們將2026年每股盈餘預期從-0.28美元上調至2.72美元,並將2027年每股盈餘預期從0.53美元上調至1.67美元。我們預測陶氏化學2026年的銷售額為446億美元,2027年為453億美元。我們認為,陶氏化學的股票在2026年迄今已上漲59%之後,其風險回報比並不理想。儘管中東衝突透過供應短缺和物流中斷暫時提振了陶氏化學的業績,使其產品價格上漲、利潤率提高,並在北美市場擁有更強的競爭力,但我們預計這些利好因素將會消退。更重要的是,持續的能源價格波動可能會從兩個方面損害利潤率:(1) 原料成本上漲將擠壓獲利能力;(2) 工業和消費需求疲軟將導致銷售下降。

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