-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:我們將必和必拓(BHP)的12個月目標價從83美元上調至86美元,按2026財年企業價值/息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EV/EBITDA)計算,估值倍數為6.80倍,較其三年歷史平均值高出19%,這反映了銅和鐵礦石等大因素的好因素。管理層維持2026財年銅產量預期,並預計產量將達到預期區間的上半部分,這主要得益於埃斯孔迪達(Escondida)礦區的強勁表現,該礦區開採量創歷史新高,同時將單位成本預期下調至每磅1.00-1.20美元(此前為每磅1.20-1.50美元)。我們仍然對銅市場持樂觀態度,因為預計到2026年,全球銅市場將出現約15萬噸的缺口,這主要得益於電氣化和數位基礎設施的需求。然而,由於西芒杜鐵礦產量過剩以及中國鋼鐵需求疲軟,我們對鐵礦石持謹慎態度。必和必拓與中鐵集團成功解決合約糾紛,消除了產量不確定性,並應能穩定來自中國的核心鐵礦石收入。我們預測2026財年/2027財年EPADS價格為每桶5.24美元/5.48美元(高於先前的5.22美元/5.32美元)。
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