FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Sell Rating On Shares Of Canadian Natural Resources Limited

By

-- CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

We maintain our Sell rating (2-STARS) and reduce our TP to CAD57 from CAD62. This combines relative valuation and DCF analyses. We apply 6.8x EV to projected 2027 EBITDA, which is in-line with current levels, yielding CAD55. Our DCF model yields a value of CAD60. We continue to believe there is downside risk to crude pricing via a peaceful truce or demand degradation. While CNQ is capitalizing on the 'sugar rush' of crude pricing through their aggressive buybacks, we look through to normalized prices in FY 27. Q1 adjusted EPS was up CAD0.01 Y/Y on 3% growth in production to 1,643k boepd and lower realized crude and SCO pricing (-5-6%). YTD CNQ has repurchased +CAD600M in shares, with CAD300M coming in April alone. Our FY 26 EPS estimate is CAD5.90 and FY 27's is CAD4.36.

Related Articles

Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Buy Rating On Shares Of Paycom Software, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our target by $19 to $150, 12.3x our 2027 EPS estimate, significantly below PAYC's three-year historical forward P/E average of 24.9x. We lift our 2026 EPS view by $0.53 to $10.73 and 2027's EPS view by $0.95 to $12.23. PAYC conservative 2026 guidance, which projects a revenue growth slowdown to 6%-7%, is a primary concern as it contrasts sharply with the company's current performance. This strength is evidenced by an expanding 48.2% adjusted EBITDA margin, robust 17% Y/Y growth in operating cash flow, and high 91% client retention, all fueled by the demonstrable ROI its AI-powered platform delivers to clients. Underscoring this internal confidence, management executed a massive $1.06B share repurchase in Q1, taking on $675M in debt to capitalize on what it views as a significant undervaluation. This aggressive, debt-funded capital return increases financial leverage but signals a profound belief in the company's long-term value proposition, despite the cautious near-term growth outlook.

$PAYC
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Opinion On Shares Of Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We increase our target by $2 to $23 on a forward P/FFO of 10.9x our 2026 FFO estimate, a premium to peers and HST's three-year forward average (8.9x) due to a stronger 2026 travel outlook and recently redeveloped properties driving higher revenue per average room (RevPAR) this year. We increase our 2026 FFO estimate by $0.05 to $2.11 and leave our 2027 view unchanged at $2.15. San Francisco showed remarkable recovery boosted by the Super Bowl and accelerating business travel as resorts in Florida/Phoenix saw stronger-than-normal Q1 performance. Weather-related disruptions in Hawaii and the East Coast negative impacted RevPAR by 120 bps in Q1, while the outlook for growth in 2H 2026 implies growth slowing to 1%-2% range. Productivity improvements have helped to offset some of the 5% Y/Y growth in wages, but this cost inflation is a risk we continue to monitor. We do not currently expect any acquisitions, with management setting a high IRR bar and favoring buybacks and special dividends currently.

$HST
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Reiterates Hold Opinion On Shares Of Fortis Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Our 12-month target is unchanged at CAD80, valuing shares at a forward P/E of 21.5x our next-12-month EPS estimate of CAD3.72, a premium to its five-year average of 19.3x. We keep our 2026 EPS estimate at CAD3.62 and raise our 2027 EPS estimate by CAD0.03 to CAD3.88. Q1 results showed continued progress on load growth opportunities, with ITC advancing data center interconnection projects and TEP securing initial contractual milestones in Arizona while pursuing additional phases. We expect revenue to grow 7.8% in 2026, followed by 5.6% growth in 2027, supported by customer rate updates at Central Hudson (effective July 2025), FortisBC Energy (effective January 2026), UNS Gas (effective March 2026), and a pending decision at TEP (expected fall 2026), alongside ongoing rate base growth. From 2025-2028, we expect EPS to grow at a 5.3% CAGR while dividends grow at 4.6%, both lagging the peer median growth rates of 7.9% and 5.2%, respectively. Shares currently yield 3.3%, slightly ahead of the peer median 3.2%.

$FTS