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FINWIRES

研究快報:CFRA維持對Smurfit Westrock Plc股票的「持有」評級

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-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:我們將SW公司12個月的目標股價下調10美元至42美元,基於2026年EBITDA預期,EV/EBITDA為7.0倍,低於同業平均水平9.8倍,但高於SW公司過去一年有限的交易歷史平均值7.0倍,以反映協同效應目標的實現。我們將2026年每股收益預期下修0.73美元至2.30美元,並將2027年每股收益預期下修0.54美元至3.20美元。第一季業績反映了顯著的成本上漲,根據2026財年的當前價格預期,能源成本增加了2億美元,運輸成本增加了5000萬美元。最大的利多因素是3月和4月的需求激增,SW公司幾乎所有紙張等級的短期供應都已售罄,從而使得今年第二季度的價格上漲成為可能。我們認為,今年迄今每噸箱板紙價格上漲50美元(第一季上漲20美元,4月上漲30美元),將推動2026年下半年營收成長,同時歐洲成本也可能上漲每噸100歐元。我們注意到,北美地區第一季銷量下降了7.4%,但2026財年剩餘時間的前景較為樂觀。

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