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研究報告:CFRA 將 Phillips 66 股票評級從「買入」下調至「持有」。

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-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:我們12個月的目標價為190美元,上調12美元,該目標價綜合考慮了相對估值和現金流折現模型(DCF)分析。相對估值方面,我們對2027年預計EBITDA採用8倍企業價值倍數,高於PSX的歷史平均。我們選擇如此高的倍數是基於我們對2027年煉油利潤率環境的預期。我們的DCF模型得出每股價值為200美元,採用中期自由現金流年增率5%和終期成長率2%的假設,並以6.8%的加權平均資本成本進行折現。我們將2026年每股盈餘預期調高4.74美元至15.54美元,並將2027年每股盈餘預期調高2.85美元至15.88美元。我們下調評級是基於估值,儘管該股年初至今已上漲37%,目前交易價格略高於其歷史遠期均價。我們認為,在布蘭特原油和WTI原油基準價格大幅分化的推動下,煉油利潤率環境短期內可能保持強勁。然而,我們認為,目前的股價已基本反映了該股的上漲潛力。

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