-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下：我們將12個月目標價上調12美元至252美元，相當於我們2026年每股收益預期的13倍（市盈率不變），低於EXPE過去五年平均市盈率21倍，這一折讓是基於消費者支出和競爭風險的考量。我們將2026年每股盈餘預期從18.51美元上調至19.41美元，並將2027年每股盈餘預期從20.38美元上調至22.18美元。我們上調預期反映了第一季總預訂量成長強勁（年增13%），儘管受到伊朗衝突的影響，市場波動較大。管理層重申了其2026年總預訂量增長6%-8%的預期，考慮到北美世界盃可能帶來的旅遊成長，這一預期較為保守。此外，該公司在銷售和行銷方面的槓桿作用顯著（年減400個基點）。如果EXPE能夠實現其毛預訂量預期並維持營運槓桿，我們認為其在2026年實現兩位數低段每股收益成長的路徑較為合理。我們認為，目前該股股價低於五年平均水平，風險/回報更為平衡。因此，我們將評級從“賣出”上調至“持有”。
Related Articles
Research
Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Buy Rating On Shares Of Paycom Software, Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our target by $19 to $150, 12.3x our 2027 EPS estimate, significantly below PAYC's three-year historical forward P/E average of 24.9x. We lift our 2026 EPS view by $0.53 to $10.73 and 2027's EPS view by $0.95 to $12.23. PAYC conservative 2026 guidance, which projects a revenue growth slowdown to 6%-7%, is a primary concern as it contrasts sharply with the company's current performance. This strength is evidenced by an expanding 48.2% adjusted EBITDA margin, robust 17% Y/Y growth in operating cash flow, and high 91% client retention, all fueled by the demonstrable ROI its AI-powered platform delivers to clients. Underscoring this internal confidence, management executed a massive $1.06B share repurchase in Q1, taking on $675M in debt to capitalize on what it views as a significant undervaluation. This aggressive, debt-funded capital return increases financial leverage but signals a profound belief in the company's long-term value proposition, despite the cautious near-term growth outlook.
$PAYC
Research
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Opinion On Shares Of Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We increase our target by $2 to $23 on a forward P/FFO of 10.9x our 2026 FFO estimate, a premium to peers and HST's three-year forward average (8.9x) due to a stronger 2026 travel outlook and recently redeveloped properties driving higher revenue per average room (RevPAR) this year. We increase our 2026 FFO estimate by $0.05 to $2.11 and leave our 2027 view unchanged at $2.15. San Francisco showed remarkable recovery boosted by the Super Bowl and accelerating business travel as resorts in Florida/Phoenix saw stronger-than-normal Q1 performance. Weather-related disruptions in Hawaii and the East Coast negative impacted RevPAR by 120 bps in Q1, while the outlook for growth in 2H 2026 implies growth slowing to 1%-2% range. Productivity improvements have helped to offset some of the 5% Y/Y growth in wages, but this cost inflation is a risk we continue to monitor. We do not currently expect any acquisitions, with management setting a high IRR bar and favoring buybacks and special dividends currently.
$HST
Research
Research Alert: CFRA Reiterates Hold Opinion On Shares Of Fortis Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Our 12-month target is unchanged at CAD80, valuing shares at a forward P/E of 21.5x our next-12-month EPS estimate of CAD3.72, a premium to its five-year average of 19.3x. We keep our 2026 EPS estimate at CAD3.62 and raise our 2027 EPS estimate by CAD0.03 to CAD3.88. Q1 results showed continued progress on load growth opportunities, with ITC advancing data center interconnection projects and TEP securing initial contractual milestones in Arizona while pursuing additional phases. We expect revenue to grow 7.8% in 2026, followed by 5.6% growth in 2027, supported by customer rate updates at Central Hudson (effective July 2025), FortisBC Energy (effective January 2026), UNS Gas (effective March 2026), and a pending decision at TEP (expected fall 2026), alongside ongoing rate base growth. From 2025-2028, we expect EPS to grow at a 5.3% CAGR while dividends grow at 4.6%, both lagging the peer median growth rates of 7.9% and 5.2%, respectively. Shares currently yield 3.3%, slightly ahead of the peer median 3.2%.
$FTS