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研究報告:CFRA 將挪威郵輪控股公司評級從「持有」下調至「強烈賣出」。

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-- 獨立研究機構CFRA向提供了以下研究報告。 CFRA分析師的觀點總結如下:我們將目標股價下調9美元至14美元,2026年企業價值/息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EV/EBITDA)為8倍(維持不變),低於該股過去三年平均10倍的預期市盈率。我們將2026年每股盈餘(EPS)預期從2.50美元下調至1.62美元,2027年每股盈餘預期從2.97美元下調至2.32美元。鑑於第一季業績令人失望,我們將評級從「持有」下調至「強烈賣出」。目前股價接近其7.5倍至12.0倍歷史市盈率區間的低階。然而,鑑於基本面惡化,我們認為目前的估值是合理的。 NCLH第一季淨殖利率表現不佳(-1.0%),反映出歐洲航線中斷對其影響遠超同行,以及行銷和收益管理執行的問題。我們認為,該公司透過削減成本來應對這些不利因素的做法可能會進一步損害品牌定位和客戶體驗,尤其是在其加勒比海旗艦品牌挪威郵輪(NCL)方面。此外,預計2026年燃油成本將上漲10%,槓桿率已惡化至5.4倍,在當前不利的時機造成了財務壓力。

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