-- 週三早盤，金價連續第三個交易日走低，儘管聯準會政策委員會預計將在今天下午結束為期兩天的會議後維持利率不變，但通膨擔憂仍令金價承壓。 6月交割的黃金期貨價格下跌33.30美元，至每盎司4,575.10美元，為3月30日以來的最低水準。 由於伊朗戰爭導致油價接近四年高位，交易員不再將黃金視為避險資產，而是轉向美元和債券，以對沖能源價格上漲可能推高通膨並導致利率上升的風險。 盛寶銀行指出：「石油價格上漲推高了美元，並強化了利率長期走高的預期，因此，油價上漲引發的通膨風險仍然是市場的主要驅動因素。目前，市場的關注點仍然是調解努力，海峽重新開放以及隨後油價下跌將是黃金和白銀短期內最大的上漲催化劑。」 但利率上升的跡象尚未顯現。美國聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）和加拿大央行將於今日公佈利率決議，預計兩家機構都將維持利率不變。 美元早盤走強，ICE美元指數最新上漲0.09點至98.73。美國公債殖利率也隨之上升，兩年期公債殖利率最新報3.879%，上漲2.9個基點；十年期公債殖利率上漲2.0個百分點至4.373%。
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Research
Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Buy Opinion On Shares Of Visa Inc.
CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We increase our 12-month target price by $20 to $440, valuing shares at 29.5x our FY 27 (Sep.) EPS, a modest premium to Visa's five-year historical average of 29.1x. We increase our FY 26 EPS estimate to $13.21 from $12.95 and raise FY 27's to $14.94 from $14.66. AI is benefiting Visa more than disrupting it. Value-added services continue their strong momentum, growing 27% in the March quarter, significantly faster than overall revenue growth of 17%. Additionally, cross-border volumes have held steady despite geopolitical tensions in Iran, while payments volume is accelerating. Competitive dynamics are also improving. Revenue growth has outpaced client incentive growth in three of the past four quarters, reversing the previous five years, when client incentives consistently grew faster than revenues. Looking ahead, Visa's positioning as a leader in agentic commerce suggests continued strength, led by rising transaction counts and expanding value-added service adoption.
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US Markets
Brent Approaches $120 Per Barrel as Trump Reportedly Rejects Iranian Proposal
Oil prices rallied Wednesday, with Brent approaching $120 per barrel after US President Donald Trump reportedly rejected an Iranian proposal to lift the naval blockade.Brent crude was last up 7.2% at $119.25 per barrel, having traded as high as $119.45 earlier in the day. West Texas Intermediate rose 7% to $106.91.Trump told Axios on Wednesday he will maintain the US naval blockade of Iranian ports until Tehran agrees to a nuclear deal. Iran wanted the Strait of Hormuz opened before the two sides could sit down to discuss uranium enrichment at a later stage.In a social media post on Wednesday, Trump said Iran "better get smart soon."A senior Iranian security source told state media Press TV that the US naval blockade will soon be met with "practical and unprecedented action."The rhetoric comes amid stalled peace negotiations between Washington and Tehran, though their ceasefire agreement appears to be holding. A separate truce deal is in place between Israel and Lebanon.Pakistani mediators expect a revised proposal from Iran by Friday, CNN reported."Crude oil has resumed its war-driven rally, with Brent rising almost non-stop since a brief mid-month tumble to ($86 per barrel), when hopes for a peace deal and a short-lived reopening of the Strait of Hormuz triggered a sharp but temporary correction," Saxo Bank Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen said in a report Wednesday.Besides the Iran war, markets are assessing the implication of the United Arab Emirates' decision to leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.The move marks a "major strategic shift (for the UAE), freeing it from production quotas that for years limited its ability to fully utilize expanding capacity," Hansen said.The UAE is set to increase oil production after walking away from oil cartel OPEC, ING Bank said in a report Wednesday."However, before this can be tapped, there must be a resolution in the Persian Gulf that allows for uninhibited energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz once again," ING said. "Therefore, in the short term, this development has little impact on the market. But in the medium to longer term, it means more supply for the market."
Australia
Pentair Stock Decline on Potential Inventory Destocking 'Overdone,' RBC Says
Pentair (PNR) shares fell 10% following the company's Q1 earnings report on Tuesday but the sell off, tied to warnings of a potential inventory destocking, was "overdone," RBC Capital Markets said.During the company's earnings call, Pentair disclosed expectations for its Pool channel partners to execute an inventory reduction in Q2 and Q3, which stems from a lowered industry volume forecast, especially for high-end discretionary products, the RBC analysts said. Pentair explained that recent price actions had prompted distributors to stock up, the analysts said.The stock price decline was also driven by H2-weighted guidance and concerns over residential and consumer spending, according to the note.However, Pentair continues its strong execution on productivity initiatives, margin improvement, and new product introductions, fueling a streak of 16 consecutive quarters of margin expansion, the analysts noted. They said that they have not observed any execution issues or missteps.RBC maintained the company's stock rating at outperform and lowered the price target to $101 from $107.Price: $81.36, Change: $-1.50, Percent Change: -1.81%
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