-- 週三,原油價格大幅上漲,布蘭特原油價格觸及一個月高位,此前有報告美國計劃延長對伊朗港口的封鎖。 布蘭特原油價格最新上漲3.2%,至每桶114.76美元;西德州中質原油價格上漲3.5%,至每桶103.40美元。路透社週三引述《華爾街日報》報道稱,美國總統川普已指示助手做好延長封鎖的準備。 報導稱,儘管伊朗戰爭已停火,但由於結束戰爭的談判陷入僵局,此舉將延長中東地區的供應中斷。 路透社引述海通期貨分析師楊安的話說:“近期油價上漲是由霍爾木茲海峽封鎖推動的。如果川普準備延長封鎖,供應中斷將進一步惡化,並繼續推高油價。” 報告指出,投資人也在消化阿聯酋宣布退出石油輸出國組織(歐佩克)對市場的影響。不過,分析師認為目前短期內不會產生重大影響。 路透社援引澳新銀行研究報告稱:“阿聯酋退出歐佩克+正式表明了該組織內部凝聚力的減弱,但短期影響有限。此舉反映了長期存在的配額緊張局勢,但油價的驅動因素仍然更多地是地緣政治、庫存和物流,而非製度變革。”
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The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Wednesday, except for a decline versus the Canadian dollar, ahead of a series of economic releases in the morning and the Federal Open Market Committee policy statement in the afternoon.Durable goods orders, housing starts, and advance trade data, all for March, are due to be released at 8:30 am ET.Weekly petroleum stocks data are due to be released at 10:30 am ET, and the Atlanta Federal Reserve is expected to update its GDP nowcast estimate around midday.The FOMC is expected to hold its target rate steady in its post-meeting statement at 2:00 pm ET, followed by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference at 2:30 pm ET. The CME FedWatch shows a 100% chance of no rate change being priced into the markets.Earlier Wednesday, the Mortgage Bankers Association reported that mortgage applications declined in the week ending April 24 after a large increase in the previous week, as mortgage rates rose slightly.A quick summary of foreign exchange activity heading into Wednesday:EUR/USD fell to 1.1705 from 1.1710 at the Tuesday US close but was above a level of 1.1694 at the same time Thursday morning. Eurozone consumer confidence and business sentiment both declined in April, while the Eurozone money supply expanded in March, according to data released earlier Wednesday. The next European Central Bank meeting is scheduled for Thursday, when no change in the target rate is expected.GBP/USD fell to 1.3510 from 1.3516 at the Tuesday US close but was above a level of 1.3484 at the same time Tuesday morning. There are no UK data on Wednesday's schedule. The next Bank of England meeting is scheduled for Thursday, when no change in the target rate is expected.USD/JPY rose to 159.7876 from 159.6661 at the Tuesday US close and 159.6369 at the same time Tuesday morning. There were no Japanese data released overnight. The next Bank of Japan meeting is scheduled for June 15-16.USD/CAD fell to 1.3681 from 1.3687 at the Tuesday US close but was above a level of 1.3662 at the same time Tuesday morning. The Bank of Canada is expected to maintain its target rate in its announcement at 9:45 am ET. There are no Canadian data on Wednesday's schedule.