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由於美伊停火協議在霍爾木茲海峽局勢不明朗的情況下得以維持,股市盤中上漲。

-- 由於華盛頓和伊朗之間最近為期兩週的停火協議似乎仍在維持,美國基準股指盤中走高,儘管由於霍爾木茲海峽的通行仍然受限,油價出現反彈。 週四午後,道瓊工業指數和那斯達克指數分別上漲0.8%,至48,279.5點和22,811.7點。標普500指數上漲0.7%,至6,829點。除能源板塊外,所有板塊均上漲,其中非必需消費品板塊領漲。 西德州中質原油盤上漲2.3%,至每桶96.54美元。該基準原油盤中一度觸及每桶102.70美元。布蘭特原油小漲0.6%,至每桶94.96美元。 在美伊兩國同意暫時停止自2月底以來席捲中東的敵對行動後,油價在前一交易日經歷了2020年以來最大單日跌幅,隨後出現反彈。 阿布達比國家石油公司首席執行官蘇爾坦·賈比爾週四在領英上發帖稱:“霍爾木茲海峽並未開放。通行受到限制、附加條件和管控。” 伊朗國家媒體先前報導稱,在以色列襲擊黎巴嫩後,通過霍爾木茲海峽的船隻通行已被暫停。根據美國有線電視新聞網(CNN)週四報道,以色列總理內塔尼亞胡表示,以色列將與黎巴嫩就解除真主黨武裝進行談判。 加拿大皇家銀行資本市場在一份報告中指出:“鑑於伊朗堅持船隻必須與其軍方協調,否則將面臨摧毀,我們仍然認為通過該水道的實際通行量將大幅下降。” 預計華盛頓和德黑蘭的官員將於本週末在巴基斯坦舉行會晤,巴基斯坦曾協助促成停火協議。 美國公債殖利率盤中走低,10年期公債殖利率下跌2個基點至4.27%,2年期公債殖利率下跌3.4個基點至3.76%。 經濟方面,美國2月通膨季增,實質消費者支出小幅走高。分析師預計,受中東衝突外溢效應的影響,物價壓力將進一步加劇。 聯準會首選的通膨指標(剔除食品和能源價格)較上季上漲0.4%,與1月持平。年化增速從3.1%放緩至3%。彭博社彙整的調查顯示,所有通膨數據均符合預期。 BMO資本市場在一份報告中指出:“由於整體通膨率可能很快就會測試4%,而聯準會近期放鬆貨幣政策的可能性不大。” 政府數據顯示,美國2月首次申請失業救濟人數增幅超出預期,而持續申領失業救濟人數降至2024年5月以來的最低水準。 牛津經濟研究院在一份報告中指出:“最新的失業救濟申請人數數據顯示,沒有證據表明(美以)與伊朗的戰爭對勞動力市場產生了顯著影響。我們認為,一周內出現意外的上升並不意味著勞動力市場狀況正在走軟。” 在公司新聞方面,CoreWeave (CRWV) 同意向 Meta Platforms (META) 提供人工智慧雲端容量,雙方達成一項價值 210 億美元的交易。由於市場對支援人工智慧工作負載的基礎設施需求強勁,兩家公司擴大了合作關係。 CoreWeave 股價盤中上漲 6.1%,Meta 股價上漲 3%。 Ares Management (ARES) 同意以約 17 億美元的全現金交易收購 Whitestone REIT (WSR) 並將其私有化。 Whitestone 股價上漲 11%,Ares 股價上漲 0.5%。 雪佛龍(CVX)表示,預計受中東衝突影響,大宗商品價格上漲將使其上游業務第一季獲利增加至多22億美元,但時間因素可能會對這家石油巨頭的最終利潤造成壓力。該公司股價盤中下跌1.4%,是道瓊指數中表現最差的股票之一。 黃金價格上漲0.9%,至每盎司4,819美元;白銀價格上漲1.5%,至每盎司76.49美元。

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