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由於消費者支出疲軟,第四季GDP成長意外下調。

-- 美國經濟分析局週四公佈的第三次估算數據顯示,第四季美國經濟成長低於先前預期,主要原因是消費者支出成長放緩。 實際國內生產毛額(GDP)在12月當季的年化成長率為0.5%,低於第二次估算的0.7%。彭博社總結的一項調查顯示,市場普遍預期該成長率將維持不變。 根據政府數據,最終數據顯示,第四季增速為三個季度以來最低,而上一季則為4.4%。該報告因去年美國聯邦政府停擺而延後發布。 以個人消費支出衡量的消費者支出成長率從先前公佈的2%修正為1.9%,華爾街先前也預期該數據不會改變。 牛津經濟研究院首席美國經濟學家邁克爾·皮爾斯在發給的電子郵件中表示:“第四季度GDP的下調並非重大隱患,因為其主要原因是庫存波動較大。國內生產總值(更能反映潛在經濟活動的指標)和私營企業國內生產總值顯示,去年底美國經濟核心仍在健康擴張。” 第四季整體個人消費支出(PCE)通膨率維持在2.9%不變。官方數據顯示,剔除波動較大的食品和能源價格的核心PCE通膨率也維持在2.7%不變。 報告預測,2025年實質GDP成長率為2.1%,與先前預測一致。 美國經濟分析局(BEA)週四發布的另一份報告顯示,由於實際消費者支出小幅增長,美國2月通膨率環比加速。分析師預計,中東衝突的外溢效應將加劇價格壓力。

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