-- 周三早盘,金价连续第三个交易日走低,尽管美联储政策委员会预计将在今天下午结束为期两天的会议后维持利率不变,但通胀担忧仍令金价承压。6月交割的黄金期货价格下跌33.30美元,至每盎司4575.10美元,为3月30日以来的最低水平。 由于伊朗战争导致油价接近四年高位,交易员已不再将黄金视为避险资产,而是转向美元和债券,以对冲能源价格上涨可能推高通胀并导致利率上升的风险。 盛宝银行指出:“石油价格上涨推高了美元,并强化了利率长期走高的预期,因此,油价上涨引发的通胀风险仍然是主要驱动因素。目前,市场的直接关注点仍然是调解努力,海峡重新开放以及随后油价下跌将是黄金和白银短期内最大的上涨催化剂。” 但利率上升的迹象尚未显现。美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)和加拿大央行将于今日公布利率决议,预计两家机构均将维持利率不变。 美元早盘走强,ICE美元指数最新上涨0.09点至98.73。美国国债收益率也随之上升,两年期国债收益率最新报3.879%,上涨2.9个基点;十年期国债收益率上涨2.0个百分点至4.373%。
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FOMC Holds Federal Funds Rate Steady at Range of 3.50% to 3.75%
Update: Gold Falls to a Month Low as Rising Energy Costs Expected to Boost Inflation
(Updates prices.)Gold traded lower for a third-straight day early Wednesday, pressured by inflation worries even as the Federal Reserve's policy committee is expected to leave rates unchanged when it ends its two-day meeting this afternoon.Gold for June delivery was last seen down US$50.40 to US$4,558.00 per ounce, the lowest since March 30.With oil trading near four-year highs amid the Iran war, traders have moved away from gold as a safe haven, turning instead to the dollar and bonds to hedge against the threat rising energy prices will boost inflation and force interest rates higher."With oil-led inflation risks remaining the main driver, as rising energy prices strengthen the dollar and reinforce a higher-for-longer interest rate outlook. For now, the market's immediate focus remains on mediation efforts, with a reopening of the strait and a subsequent drop in oil prices representing the biggest short-term upside catalyst for both gold and silver," Saxo Bank noted.But higher rates are not yet on the way. The Federal Open Market Committee and the Bank of Canada will both release interest-rate decisions today and both are expected to leave rates steady.The dollar was higher, with the ICE dollar index last seen up 0.25 points to 98.89. Treasury yields also moved up, with the U.S. two-year note last seen paying 3.918%, up 6.8 basis points, while the yield on the 10-year note was up 4.7 points to 4.4%.
Sector Update: Energy Stocks Rise Wednesday Afternoon
Energy stocks were higher Wednesday afternoon, with the NYSE Energy Sector Index and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) each rising about 2%.The Philadelphia Oil Service Sector Index was increasing 0.5%, and the Dow Jones US Utilities Index was shedding 0.5%.Oil prices rallied Wednesday after US President Donald Trump reportedly rejected an Iranian proposal to lift the naval blockade. Trump told Axios on Wednesday he will maintain the US naval blockade of Iranian ports until Tehran agrees to a nuclear deal. Iran wanted the Strait of Hormuz opened before the two sides could sit down to discuss uranium enrichment at a later stage.Front-month West Texas Intermediate crude oil jumped 7.3% to $107.18 a barrel, and the global benchmark Brent crude contract climbed 7.4% to $119.47 a barrel. Henry Hub natural gas futures fell 2.2% to $2.63 per 1 million BTU.In corporate news, Phillips 66 (PSX) shares jumped past 6%. The firm reported Q1 adjusted earnings Wednesday of $0.49 per diluted share, swinging from a loss of $0.90 a share a year ago. Analysts polled by FactSet expected a loss of $0.54 a share. Phillips 66 also raised its annualized quarterly dividend by 7%.Bloom Energy (BE) shares surged nearly 24% after it reported Q1 adjusted earnings late Tuesday of $0.44 per diluted share, up from $0.03 a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected $0.12. Revenue also handily beat market consensus.TotalEnergies (TTE) shares were up 0.9% after it posted higher Q1 adjusted earnings and revenue.