-- 周一早盘，油价重回每桶100美元上方，此前美国表示，在巴基斯坦举行的周末和平谈判未能达成结束敌对行动的协议后，将封锁伊朗港口。 5月交割的西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格上涨7.18美元，至每桶103.75美元；6月交割的布伦特原油期货价格上涨7.00美元，至每桶102.20美元。 伊朗和美国之间的直接和间接谈判均未能达成协议，伊朗拒绝接受美国要求其停止铀浓缩计划的要求。作为对谈判失败的回应，美国表示将封锁伊朗港口，并阻止任何向伊朗支付通行费的船只通过霍尔木兹海峡。据《华尔街日报》报道，伊朗则威胁要袭击波斯湾和阿曼海的港口。 未能达成和平协议导致霍尔木兹海峡对油轮航行关闭，继续阻断波斯湾国家每日20%的石油需求。这将是史上最大的供应冲击，而即将到来的夏季需求旺季可能会加剧这一局面。 加拿大皇家银行资本市场全球大宗商品策略及中东和北非研究主管赫利玛·克罗夫特写道：“美国和伊朗之间高风险的谈判再次因华盛顿坚持伊朗不进行铀浓缩的要求而陷入僵局，这为持续六周的战争进一步升级以及夏季驾车高峰期到来前供应中断的持续埋下了伏笔。” “在缺乏谈判协议的情况下，白宫实际上只剩下两个选择：要么采取战略撤退，让伊朗实际控制海峡；要么采取军事升级，旨在‘摧毁德黑兰的收费站’。”
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