-- 由于美以与伊朗的战争仍看不到结束的迹象，原油价格持续高企，霍尔木兹海峡也因冲突而实际上处于封闭状态。 布伦特原油价格最新上涨1.5%，至每桶112.06美元；西德克萨斯中质原油价格上涨0.8%，至每桶105.93美元。路透社周五援引伊朗官方通讯社伊通社（IRNA）的报道称，伊朗外交部发言人表示，指望美伊谈判迅速取得成果并不现实。 报道称，伊朗革命卫队一名高级官员威胁说，如果华盛顿再次对伊朗发动袭击，伊朗将对美军阵地进行“长期而痛苦的打击”。 路透社援引一位美国官员的话报道称，美国总统特朗普将听取有关重启对伊朗军事打击计划的简报，以迫使伊朗通过谈判结束战争。
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Equities
Repsol Kept at Outperform as RBC Notes 'Strong' Refining Margins
RBC Capital Markets kept Repsol (REP.MC) at outperform, noting the Spanish oil and gas giant looks well placed to capitalize on the current refining environment."Refining margin capture has been a key concern over recent weeks, with investors worried about crude availability, particularly for coastal refiners. Repsol's indicator margin is less relevant in these volatile times, but importantly, [realized] refining margins remain strong, and look set to remain strong through the summer. In 1Q, the refining margin premium ($5.7/bbl) was higher than we had seen in recent years (highest in 1Q23 at $4/bbl), but management have noted a particularly strong start to 2Q26, with realised refining margins well above $20/bbl in April. Repsol's complex refining system is also well set up to take advantage of crude spreads (light-heavy, sweet-sour, etc.), which should support refining margins and be a relative advantage to peers," analysts said Thursday.According to the research firm, this refining strength and anticipated upstream growth offer "material upside" for Repsol's capital distribution. As such, the research firm now projects 1.5 billion euros in buybacks for the company, noting the figure is more than double the company's current guidance.On the financial front, RBC updated its estimates, including higher EPS forecasts for full-year 2026 through 2028, following Repsol's first-quarter results. The revised model accounts for a $10 per barrel refining indicator and a $5/bbl realized premium for 2026, alongside other adjustments.The stock has a price target of 32 euros.
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International
US Dollar Falls Early Friday Ahead of April Manufacturing Data
The US dollar fell against its major trading partners early Friday ahead of the release of manufacturing data from S&P Global at 9:45 am ET and from ISM at 10:00 am ET.The St. Louis and Atlanta Federal Reserve banks are due to release their GDP nowcast estimates for Q2 around midday.A quick summary of foreign exchange activity heading into Friday:EUR/USD rose to 1.1750 from 1.1736 at the Thursday US close and 1.1706 at the same time Thursday morning. There are no Eurozone data on Friday's schedule. The next European Central Bank meeting is scheduled for June 11.GBP/USD rose to 1.3617 from 1.3607 at the Thursday US close and 1.3517 at the same time Thursday morning. UK manufacturing PMI rose in April, while UK home prices increased in the same month, and UK mortgage lending improved in March. The next Bank of England meeting is scheduled for June 18.USD/JPY fell to 156.5495 from 156.5626 at the Thursday US close and 157.0274 at the same time Thursday morning. Growth in Tokyo CPI, an early indicator of Japanese consumer prices, accelerated in April, but core CPI growth slowed, according to data released overnight. In the same month, manufacturing PMI rose more than expected. The next Bank of Japan meeting is scheduled for June 15-16.USD/CAD fell to 1.3563 from 1.3583 at the Thursday US close and 1.3657 at the same time Thursday morning. Canadian manufacturing PMI for April is due to be released at 9:30 am ET. The next Bank of Canada meeting is scheduled for June 10.
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Research
Keefe Bruyette & Woods Downgrades First Interstate to Market Perform From Outperform, Trims Price Target to $37 From $38
First Interstate BancSystem (FIBK) has an average rating of Hold and mean price target of $36.88, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)
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