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由于美伊停火协议在霍尔木兹海峡局势不明朗的情况下得以维持,股市盘中上涨。

-- 由于华盛顿和伊朗之间最近为期两周的停火协议似乎仍在维持,美国基准股指盘中走高,尽管由于霍尔木兹海峡的通行仍然受限,油价出现反弹。 周四午后,道琼斯工业平均指数和纳斯达克综合指数分别上涨0.8%,至48,279.5点和22,811.7点。标准普尔500指数上涨0.7%,至6,829点。除能源板块外,所有板块均上涨,其中非必需消费品板块领涨。 西德克萨斯中质原油盘中上涨2.3%,至每桶96.54美元。该基准原油盘中一度触及每桶102.70美元。布伦特原油小幅上涨0.6%,至每桶94.96美元。 在美伊两国同意暂时停止自2月底以来席卷中东的敌对行动后,油价在前一交易日经历了2020年以来最大单日跌幅,随后出现反弹。 阿布扎比国家石油公司首席执行官苏尔坦·贾比尔周四在领英上发帖称:“霍尔木兹海峡并未开放。通行受到限制、附加条件和管控。” 伊朗国家媒体此前报道称,在以色列袭击黎巴嫩后,通过霍尔木兹海峡的船只通行已被暂停。据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)周四报道,以色列总理内塔尼亚胡表示,以色列将与黎巴嫩就解除真主党武装进行谈判。 加拿大皇家银行资本市场在一份报告中指出:“鉴于伊朗坚持船只必须与其军方协调,否则将面临摧毁,我们仍然认为通过该水道的实际通行量将大幅下降。” 预计华盛顿和德黑兰的官员将于本周末在巴基斯坦举行会晤,巴基斯坦曾协助促成停火协议。 美国国债收益率盘中走低,10年期国债收益率下跌2个基点至4.27%,2年期国债收益率下跌3.4个基点至3.76%。 经济方面,美国2月份通胀环比加速,实际消费者支出小幅走高。分析师预计,受中东冲突溢出效应的影响,物价压力将进一步加剧。 美联储首选的通胀指标(剔除食品和能源价格)环比上涨0.4%,与1月份持平。年化增速从3.1%放缓至3%。彭博社汇总的调查显示,所有通胀数据均符合预期。 BMO资本市场在一份报告中指出:“由于整体通胀率可能很快将测试4%,美联储近期放松货币政策的可能性不大。” 政府数据显示,美国2月份首次申请失业救济人数增幅超出预期,而持续申领失业救济人数降至2024年5月以来的最低水平。 牛津经济研究院在一份报告中指出:“最新的失业救济申请人数数据显示,没有证据表明(美以)与伊朗的战争对劳动力市场产生了显著影响。我们认为,一周内出现意外的上升并不意味着劳动力市场状况正在走软。” 公司新闻方面,CoreWeave (CRWV) 同意向 Meta Platforms (META) 提供人工智能云容量,双方达成一项价值 210 亿美元的交易。由于市场对支持人工智能工作负载的基础设施需求强劲,两家公司扩大了合作关系。CoreWeave 股价盘中上涨 6.1%,Meta 股价上涨 3%。 Ares Management (ARES) 同意以约 17 亿美元的全现金交易收购 Whitestone REIT (WSR) 并将其私有化。Whitestone 股价上涨 11%,Ares 股价上涨 0.5%。 雪佛龙(CVX)表示,预计受中东冲突影响,大宗商品价格上涨将使其上游业务第一季度盈利增加至多22亿美元,但时间因素可能会对这家石油巨头的最终利润造成压力。该公司股价盘中下跌1.4%,是道琼斯指数中表现最差的股票之一。 黄金价格上涨0.9%,至每盎司4819美元;白银价格上涨1.5%,至每盎司76.49美元。

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