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由于伊朗和平协议难以达成,美国股市指数下跌,原油价格和国债收益率飙升。

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-- 周三午盘过后,由于市场担忧伊朗封锁将延长以迫使德黑兰达成和平协议,原油期货和政府债券收益率大幅上涨,美国股指走低。 权重股Alphabet(GOOG,GOOGL)、亚马逊(AMZN)、Meta Platforms(META)和微软(MSFT)将于盘后公布季度财报,投资者正等待这些超大规模数据中心运营商的最新资本支出计划,这加剧了市场的紧张情绪。 道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.6%,收于48,853.3点;标普500指数下跌0.2%,收于7,121.9点;纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.4%,收于24,572.2点。除能源板块外,所有板块均下跌,其中材料和工业板块领跌。 据《华尔街日报》报道,美国官员透露,唐纳德·特朗普总统已指示助手做好延长对伊朗封锁的准备。据《华尔街日报》报道,在最近的几次会议上,包括周一在战情室的讨论,特朗普选择继续通过封锁伊朗港口来打压伊朗经济和石油出口。 官员们告诉《华尔街日报》,特朗普与助手们评估后认为,其他选项——恢复轰炸或退出冲突——的风险都比维持对伊朗的封锁更大。 “伊朗根本就没法好好做人。他们不知道怎么签署无核协议。他们最好赶紧醒悟过来!”特朗普周三在Truth Social上发帖说道。 与此同时,由于担心特朗普的政策会延长霍尔木兹海峡的混乱局面,西德克萨斯中质原油期货价格上涨6.7%至每桶106.70美元,布伦特原油期货价格飙升6.8%至每桶118.87美元。霍尔木兹海峡是全球20%原油运输的咽喉要道。 贵金属方面,受原油价格上涨引发通胀担忧的影响,黄金期货下跌0.7%至每盎司4575美元,白银期货下跌2%至每盎司72.30美元。多数美国国债收益率上涨,其中10年期国债收益率上涨4.6个基点至4.40%,创近一个月来新高。2年期国债收益率上涨7个基点至3.91%。 美联储联邦公开市场委员会将于美国东部时间下午2点发布最新政策声明,随后美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔将举行新闻发布会。据芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的FedWatch工具显示,该委员会肯定会维持利率不变,维持在3.5%至3.75%的当前目标利率水平。 麦格理银行的一份报告指出,如果伊朗战争持续时间延长,那些尚未采取更明确的紧缩政策倾向的央行(例如美联储)和/或通胀率高于目标水平的央行(同样例如美联储)可能会显得反应迟缓。“我们预计到5月份,央行将采取更为鹰派的立场和行动。” 经济新闻方面,美国3月份新屋开工量环比增长近11%,达到年化150.2万套,高于2月份的135.6万套,也高于彭博社汇总调查中预期的138万套。 3月份建筑许可量同比下降近11%,至137.2万套,低于预期的139万套,也低于2月份的153.8万套。

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