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FINWIRES

產業動態:金融股週五下跌

-- 週五金融股普遍下跌,紐約證券交易所金融指數下跌0.6%,道富金融精選產業SPDR ETF(XLF)下跌1.1%。 費城住房指數基本持平,道富房地產精選行業SPDR ETF(XLRE)上漲0.2%。 比特幣(BTC-USD)上漲1.8%至73,058美元,10年期美國公債殖利率上漲2.4個基點至4.317%。 經濟方面,受中東衝突推高能源價格的影響,美國3月消費者物價指數(CPI)加速上漲,達到近四年來的最高月度水準。美國勞工統計局數據顯示,3月CPI上漲0.9%,為2022年6月以來的最快成長速度,與彭博分析師調查的預期相符。 2月份CPI上漲0.3%。 4月通膨率從2月的2.4%升至3.3%,低於華爾街先前預測的3.4%。 密西根大學的初步調查顯示,4月美國消費者信心指數跌至歷史最低點,反映出消費者對物價上漲以及中東衝突帶來的整體經濟影響的擔憂加劇。主要消費者信心指數較3月暴跌約11%,至47.6。彭博社的調查顯示,華爾街先前預期該指數為51.5。 企業新聞方面,根據彭博社報道,KKR (KKR) 和 EQT AB 等私募股權公司對 PolyPeptide Group 表現出收購意圖。 KKR 股價下跌1.7%。 根據彭博社報道,Ares Management (ARES) 計劃推出一隻規模初步目標為200億美元的旗艦美國直接貸款基金,規模小於其先前創紀錄的336億美元投資基金。 Ares 股價下跌4.1%。 巴克萊將費埃哲公司 (Fair Isaac, FICO) 的目標股價從 2,400 美元下調至 1,950 美元,但仍維持「增持」評級,受此消息影響,費埃哲股價下跌 14%。 彭博社報道稱,黑石集團 (Blackstone, BX) 正在考慮進行首次公開募股 (IPO),預計將為一家收購資料中心的公司籌集 20 億美元。黑石集團股價下跌 1.8%。

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Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.

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Petro Rabigh Emerges From Loss in Q1; Revenue Grows

Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, said Sunday it swung back to profit in the first quarter of 2026, while revenue increased year over year.Net profit attributable to shareholders of the issuer for the three months ended March 31 was 1.47 billion Saudi riyals, compared with the attributable loss of 691 million riyals earlier. EPS moved to 0.88 riyal from a loss per share of 0.41 riyal.The Tadawul-listed oil refining and petrochemical company's revenue was 14.85 billion riyals, compared with 11.21 billion riyals a year ago.

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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Buy Opinion On Shares Of The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We trim our 12-month target price by $8 to $155, valuing HIG shares at 11.3x our 2026 operating EPS estimate of $13.75 (cut by $0.45) and at 10.6x our 2027 EPS estimate of $14.65 (cut by $0.30), vs. the shares' one-year average forward multiple of 10.3x and peer average of 13x. Q1 EPS of $3.09 vs. $2.20 a year ago missed our $3.60 estimate and $3.39 consensus view. Operating revenue growth of 6.2% was in line with our 6%-10% forecast, amid 5.3% earned premium growth, 13% higher net investment income, and 7.9% fee revenue growth. Q1 written premium growth of 4% and full-year 2025 growth of 7% bode well for 2026 revenue trends as premiums are earned. Underwriting results improved significantly, with Personal Lines combined ratio improving to 87.7% from 106.1% and underlying combined ratio to 85.0% from 89.7%. Business Insurance combined ratio was stable at 94.8%. Weighing the Q1 EPS miss with HIG's decent top-line growth and discounted valuation to peers, we view the shares as undervalued.

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