-- 儘管供需基本面疲軟的跡象顯現,但原油價格上漲仍提振了周三主要生質燃料原料期貨價格。 芝加哥期貨交易所(CBOT)5月大豆油期貨合約早盤上漲0.86%,至每磅67.01美分;5月CBOT大豆期貨合約早盤上漲0.78%,至每蒲式耳11.67美元。 然而,如果能源市場走軟,生物燃料需求可能會有所緩解,尤其是在美伊和平談判即將舉行之際。 此外,大豆供應充足將繼續對價格構成壓力,尤其是在巴西迎來創紀錄的豐收以及美國擴大大豆種植面積的情況下。 巴西國家糧食供應公司(Conab)將大豆產量預期從1.779億噸上調至1.792億噸,並表示由於3月降雨量減少,田間條件改善,收割進度已達85.7%。 美國農業部表示,截至4月12日,美國大豆種植進度已達6%,高於去年同期的2%以及過去五年的平均值。 該機構預測,由於化肥成本上漲促使農民將種植面積從玉米轉向大豆,美國大豆種植面積可能擴大至8,470萬英畝。 在亞洲,受原油和豆油價格走強的影響,馬來西亞棕櫚油期貨週三收高,儘管早盤一度有所回落。 馬來西亞衍生性商品交易所5月及6月交割的原棕櫚油合約分別小幅上漲超過0.1%,至每噸4,426馬來西亞林吉特(1,120.51美元)及4,472林吉特。 由於中東衝突導致價格上漲,馬來西亞棕櫚油局於5月將棕櫚油參考價格從4月的每噸3,935.19令吉上調至每噸4,521.89令吉,出口關稅也從9.5%上調至10%。 根據多家媒體通報,馬來西亞政府週二同意將生質柴油強制摻混比例從目前的10%提高到15%,並將分階段實施,首先使用現有生質柴油工廠生產12%的混合燃料。 目前,馬來西亞交通運輸業強制使用10%的生物柴油,部分省份已實施20%的混合比例。 此前,印尼計畫從7月1日起將生質柴油強制摻混比例從目前的40%提高到50%,泰國也決定將混合比例從目前的5%提高到7%。 泰國也收緊了棕櫚油出口管制,以提振國內供應。 然而,價格報告機構MySteel表示,近期原油價格下跌「削弱了棕櫚油生產國實施生物燃料政策的經濟基礎」。 MySteel指出:“泰國限制棕櫚油出口的政策已經產生了不利影響,這反映出隨著原油價格走弱,未來棕櫚油供應收緊的預期可能會減弱。” 在美國,紐約商品交易所(NYMEX)5月交割的乙醇期貨週二下跌0.52%,至每加侖約1.93美元,結束了先前連續兩個交易日的上漲勢頭。
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