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瑞银表示,菲利普莫里斯第一季度业绩总体符合预期,但2026财年销售增长面临压力。

-- 菲利普莫里斯国际公司 (PM) 第一季度业绩预计与预期基本一致,瑞银证券预测其每股收益将略高于市场普遍预期,原因是美国 ZYN 销量下滑被价格和成本因素的走强所抵消。 该券商在周四的一份报告中指出,尽管第一季度每股收益比市场普遍预期高出约 0.01 美元,但关键在于 2026 财年。美国 ZYN 销量疲软、ZYN Ultra 产品可能延迟获得 FDA 批准以及来自中东和亚洲的宏观经济压力都可能抑制有机销售增长。 中东和亚洲市场占菲利普莫里斯公司收入的近 30%,目前正面临冲突相关影响和能源成本上涨的双重挑战。该投资公司预计,2026 年集团销量将下降 1.9%,其中可燃烟草销量将下降 4.2%,高于市场普遍预期的 3.9%。无烟烟草销量预计将增长 5.6%,高于市场普遍预期的 6%。 该券商目前预计菲利普莫里斯公司2026年每股收益将增长11.6%至8.42美元,高于华尔街普遍预期的8.46美元。瑞银预计IQOS和美国ZYN第二季度的销量分别为416亿支和1.84亿支。瑞银预计有机销售额将增长4.0%,每股收益为2.13美元。 瑞银维持对菲利普莫里斯的“中性”评级,并将目标价从181.50美元下调至168美元。

Price: $157.88, Change: $+1.63, Percent Change: +1.05%

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