FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

瑞银表示,大多数软线零售商有望达到或超过季度盈利预期。

-- 瑞银证券周一表示,预计大多数美国软线零售商即将公布的季度财报将符合或高于华尔街的预期,同时,如果中东冲突尽快结束,消费者支出可能会显著增长。 瑞银分析师杰伊·索尔(Jay Sole)在致客户的报告中指出,该券商本月前两周进行的一项调查显示,尽管受到2月底爆发的美以伊战争的不利影响,消费者的支出意愿依然“良好”,尤其是在服装和鞋类方面。 瑞银表示:“我们认为市场高估了高油价对软线公司利润率的负面影响。我们预计大多数软线公司在即将到来的财报季中将达到或超过(第一季度)预期。” 这场战争影响了多个中东国家,由于霍尔木兹海峡(全球最重要的原油运输咽喉要道)关闭,导致能源价格飙升。 据追踪美国燃油价格的旅游组织AAA的数据显示,周一美国零售汽油平均价格为每加仑4.042美元,而去年同期为3.151美元。 瑞银分析师周一表示:“中东冲突和汽油价格上涨在一定程度上影响了美国消费者对经济的看法(环比而言)。然而,数据显示,如果中东冲突尽快结束,汽油价格恢复到冲突前水平,美国消费者支出有望大幅增长。这是我们仍然看好该股的主要原因。” 瑞银表示,他们看好并给予“买入”评级的软线股包括On Holding (ONON)、Deckers Outdoor (DECK)、Gildan Activewear (GIL)、Burlington Stores (BURL)、Levi Strauss (LEVI)、Ralph Lauren (RL)和TJX (TJX)。该券商在报告中表示,他们更看好这些股票,而非耐克 (NKE) 和露露柠檬 (LULU) 等几家知名公司。 分析师表示:“我们认为,市场严重低估了人工智能对软线公司销售额和利润率的积极影响。” 周六,伊朗重新控制了霍尔木兹海峡,此前伊朗于周五暂时开放该水道供商船通行。美国和伊朗互相指责对方违反了4月7日宣布的为期两周的停火协议,导致中东局势陷入僵局。

Price: $37.24, Change: $+0.29, Percent Change: +0.78%

Related Articles

Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

$OTIS
Asia Markets

Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled

The Tadawul All Share Index closed Sunday 0.11% higher as investors assessed the latest updates regarding the conflict in the Middle East.US President Donald Trump said on his Truth Social account that the Pakistani trip for his envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, was canceled. The announcement dimmed the hopes for peace talks between Iran and the US to happen any time soon.Further to this, Israel launched an attack in Lebanon on April 25. The strikes, which targeted Hezbollah, resulted in four casualties and facility damage in Southern Lebanon.Back at home, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, and Thob Al Aseel (SASE:4012) posted their financial results for the three months ended March 31. Petro Rabigh emerged from a loss in the first quarter, while Thob Al Aseel logged a higher net profit and revenue."The reason for net profit reported during the current quarter compared to a net loss recorded in the same quarter of last year was primarily attributable to improved product margins resulting from stronger refined product pricing and higher sales volumes," Petro Rabigh said in its report.Petro Rabigh rose 10% at closing, while Thob Al Aseel ticked down 1.59%.Meanwhile, the local calendar will be mostly empty except for the kingdom's preliminary figures for its GDP growth rate for the first quarter and the M3 money supply and private bank lending data for March on Thursday.

$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.

$URI