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瑞银称,美联航第二季度盈利预期不及市场预期

-- 瑞银证券周三在一份电子邮件报告中指出,由于燃油成本高于预期,联合航空(UAL)第二季度盈利预期低于华尔街的预期。 周二晚些时候,这家航空公司表示,假设平均航空燃油价格约为每加仑4.30美元,预计本季度调整后每股收益为1至2美元。 瑞银预测每股收益为2.30美元,而彭博社调查的普遍预期为1.74美元,低于预期区间的中点。 该券商表示,买方预期每股收益为1.75至2.25美元,基于每加仑4.10美元的燃油价格。在美以与伊朗爆发战争后,原油价格飙升。 联合航空将全年调整后每股收益预期从12至14美元下调至7至11美元。据FactSet发布的财报电话会议记录显示,首席财务官迈克尔·莱斯基宁在周二晚间的财报电话会议上告诉分析师,更广泛的业绩指引考虑了多种情景。 瑞银分析师阿图尔·马赫什瓦里等人写道:“(第二季度)业绩指引略低于买方预期,但这主要是由于燃料价格预期高于预期。” (全年)业绩指引大致处于市场普遍预期的中值范围内。 瑞银预计全年每股收益为 9.50 美元,高于此前市场普遍预期的 9.08 美元。 尽管美联航公布的第一季度业绩强于预期,但其股价在周三下午晚些时候的交易中仍下跌了 7%。 “总而言之,我们认为这只是一个细节问题,”马赫斯瓦里表示。“主动削减(下半年)运力尤其令我们感到鼓舞,因为它表明公司正专注于在当前不确定的环境下保持利润率和现金流。” 该券商维持对该股的买入评级,目标价为 135 美元。 “总体而言,这份财报发布后,市场预期不太可能出现大幅波动,”马赫斯瓦里表示。“在缺乏盈利催化剂的情况下,我们认为该股短期内可能会受到宏观经济新闻的影响。” 在电话会议上,首席执行官斯科特·柯比表示,管理层目前的目标是“竭尽全力实现复苏”。 “尽快将航空燃油价格上涨的全部影响转嫁给消费者,并力争明年实现两位数的税前利润率。” “目前油价波动剧烈,但由于我们认为能够实现100%的成本转嫁,因此我们对近期和中期的盈利前景都充满信心,并能够继续提供业绩指引。”柯比在FactSet的文字记录中表示。

Price: $90.46, Change: $-6.67, Percent Change: -6.87%

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