FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

瑞銀表示,菲利普莫里斯第一季業績整體符合預期,但2026財年銷售成長面臨壓力。

-- 菲利普莫里斯國際公司 (PM) 第一季度業績預計與預期基本一致,瑞銀證券預測其每股收益將略高於市場普遍預期,原因是美國 ZYN 銷量下滑被價格和成本因素的走強所抵消。 該券商在周四的一份報告中指出,儘管第一季每股收益比市場普遍預期高出約 0.01 美元,但關鍵在於 2026 財年。美國 ZYN 銷售疲軟、ZYN Ultra 產品可能延遲獲得 FDA 批准以及來自中東和亞洲的宏觀經濟壓力都可能抑制有機銷售成長。 中東和亞洲市場佔菲利普莫里斯公司營收的近 30%,目前正面臨衝突相關影響和能源成本上漲的雙重挑戰。該投資公司預計,2026 年集團銷量將下降 1.9%,其中可燃菸草銷量將下降 4.2%,高於市場普遍預期的 3.9%。無菸菸草銷售量預計將成長 5.6%,高於市場普遍預期的 6%。 該券商目前預計菲利普莫里斯公司2026年每股盈餘將成長11.6%至8.42美元,高於華爾街普遍預期的8.46美元。瑞銀預計IQOS和美國ZYN第二季的銷售量分別為416億支和1.84億支。瑞銀預計有機銷售額將成長4.0%,每股收益為2.13美元。 瑞銀維持對菲利普莫里斯的「中性」評級,並將目標價從181.50美元下調至168美元。

Price: $157.88, Change: $+1.63, Percent Change: +1.05%

Related Articles

Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

$OTIS
Asia Markets

Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled

The Tadawul All Share Index closed Sunday 0.11% higher as investors assessed the latest updates regarding the conflict in the Middle East.US President Donald Trump said on his Truth Social account that the Pakistani trip for his envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, was canceled. The announcement dimmed the hopes for peace talks between Iran and the US to happen any time soon.Further to this, Israel launched an attack in Lebanon on April 25. The strikes, which targeted Hezbollah, resulted in four casualties and facility damage in Southern Lebanon.Back at home, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, and Thob Al Aseel (SASE:4012) posted their financial results for the three months ended March 31. Petro Rabigh emerged from a loss in the first quarter, while Thob Al Aseel logged a higher net profit and revenue."The reason for net profit reported during the current quarter compared to a net loss recorded in the same quarter of last year was primarily attributable to improved product margins resulting from stronger refined product pricing and higher sales volumes," Petro Rabigh said in its report.Petro Rabigh rose 10% at closing, while Thob Al Aseel ticked down 1.59%.Meanwhile, the local calendar will be mostly empty except for the kingdom's preliminary figures for its GDP growth rate for the first quarter and the M3 money supply and private bank lending data for March on Thursday.

$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Rating On Shares Of United Rentals Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our 12-month target price to $1,100 from $950 following a strong first quarter, valuing shares at 20.5x our 2027 EPS outlook of $54.28 (in line with previous estimate; 2026 EPS also in line). We believe a higher multiple is justified given URI's firming market leadership within an expanding rental equipment industry. A robust Q1 beat enabled URI to raise its full-year revenue guidance to $16.9B-$17.4B and adjusted EBITDA to $7.625B-$7.875B, citing momentum heading into a busy season. With leverage well below historical levels, we believe accretive M&A deals could serve as a potential catalyst for additional guidance increases. Margin compression has been a sticky issue for URI, but Q1 indicated that pricing may have turned around and that headwinds are starting to ease as quarterly results begin to lap when tariff-related inflation began to pick-up. We remain cautious on margins, though are encouraged by signs of stabilization. New project activity is likely supporting pricing trends, in our view.

$URI