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FINWIRES

瑞銀表示,加幣中期前景依然「受限」。

-- 加拿大央行將於週三召開會議,瑞銀預計其立場將繼續保持謹慎。 瑞銀表示,近期公佈的通膨數據低於加拿大央行自身的預期,這進一步印證了在國內經濟情勢依然脆弱、勞動市場動態疲軟的情況下,市場應保持耐心。 瑞銀在致客戶的報告中指出,近幾週來,加幣(CAD 或 loonie)展現出一定的韌性,這得益於能源價格上漲和美元(USD)的普遍走弱。 儘管如此,瑞銀認為這種支撐目前仍是有限的。報告指出,在伊朗戰爭的影響下,美元依然強勢,而加幣的套利吸引力有限,且美墨加協定(USMCA)相關進展仍存在持續的不確定性。 瑞銀補充道,加元的中期前景依然「受限」。 因此,瑞銀繼續傾向於做空加元兌高收益貨幣,以及做空部分美墨加協定貨幣對,因為政治和貿易相關風險可能會使市場情緒不穩定。

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