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Price: $50.85, Change: $-0.97, Percent Change: -1.87%
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Treasury
Canada's Federal Government Announces First National Sovereign Wealth Fund
Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney announced the nation's first national sovereign wealth fund, the 'Canada Strong Fund', at a press conference in Ottawa on Monday.The Liberal Party's majority federal government will endow $25 billion into the fund, one Carney says will function as a "national savings and investment account designed to grow wealth for future generations of Canadians." In remarks made during the announcement Carney noted Canada's economic relationship with the administration in the United States had changed, and "that's their right", and his government is responding to that in finding new ways of growing the domestic economy here without relying on its ties with its North American neighbour. "That is our imperative."
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Mining & Metals
Deutsche Bank Sees Canadian Dollar Rising "Modestly" Vs. US Dollar This Year, Before Larger Gain in 2027
Deutsche Bank sees the Canadian dollar (CAD or loonie) rising only "modestly" versus the US dollar (USD) this year while lagging G10 peers, before expecting a larger rise in 2027.The Canadian economy remains "lackluster" -- gross domestic product growth is barely positive and inflation has dropped back to around the target, noted the bank.Canada is caught between the fading of old growth drivers -- robust growth in population, house prices and exports -- and the hope of the new, such as more capital expenditure, and diversified export markets, stated Deutsche Bank.The direction is "encouraging," and the BoC business survey (BOS) last week perked up in Q1, but this agenda will still take time to bear fruit, it pointed out. Pipelines aren't quick to build, especially with a wide array of stakeholders, and businesses in general need to be persuaded to recalibrate and invest.The current energy shock has affected sentiment, especially for households that already face the weakest labor market conditions in the G10, added the bank.Higher energy prices at least will help the trade balance, and the financial account continues to be a story of equity outflows offset by debt inflows -- notwithstanding CAD's relatively low carry.The USMCA trade deal renegotiations set for mid-year pose two-way risks to CAD, while a further rise in hedging by pension funds from extremely low levels could help the currency over time, according to Deutsche Bank.
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Commodities
Northeast Asian Diesel, Jet Exports to Recover in May, Reuters Analysis Shows
Diesel and jet fuel exports from Northeast Asia are set to rebound from April lows in May, helping ease product prices to some extent, according to a Reuters analysis on Monday.Reuters data showed that diesel exports from South Korean refiners, including SK Energy, GS Caltex, S-Oil, and Hyundai Oilbank, more than doubled to at least 10 cargoes in May, compared with April.In Taiwan, Formosa Petrochemical sold one cargo of each, 300,000 barrels of low-sulfur and high-sulfur diesel, after a muted flow in April.However, volumes remained below pre-war levels of at least 25 cargoes, Reuters said.Trade sources cited by the news agency said jet fuel exports also rose, with five 300,000-barrel cargoes sold for May loading, up from three in April.Along with the higher jet and diesel exports, corresponding Asian refining margins declined to around $62 per barrel on Monday, from a record of $86/bbl on March 30, but remained three times higher than pre-war levels, according to LSEG data cited by Reuters.Reuters tender records also showed that, last week, premiums for Northeast Asian diesel cargoes reduced by about half to below $5/bbl to Singapore quotes on a free-on-board Korea basis, from at least $10/bbl two weeks earlier.