-- スイスの年間インフレ率は2026年4月に2ヶ月連続で上昇し、中東情勢の緊迫化によるエネルギー価格の高騰を受け、2024年12月以来の高水準に達した。 スイス連邦統計局が火曜日に発表したデータによると、スイスの消費者物価指数は4月に前年同月比0.6%上昇し、3月の0.3%上昇に続く上昇となった。月次ベースでは、消費者物価は0.3%上昇し、3月の0.2%上昇、市場予想の0.4%上昇を下回った。 生鮮食品や季節商品、エネルギー、燃料などの変動の大きい品目を除いたコアインフレ率は、0.4%から0.3%に低下した。前月比では、コアインフレ率は横ばいだった。 連邦統計局は、前月比の上昇の主な要因として、ガソリン、ディーゼル、暖房油の価格上昇に加え、航空運賃や国際パッケージツアーの価格上昇を挙げている。一方、ホテルや宿泊施設の料金は、レンタカーやカーシェアリングの料金と同様に、この1ヶ月間で下落しました。 スイス国立銀行(SNBN.SW)は3月の金融政策評価において、中期的なインフレ圧力は「ほぼ横ばい」であるとして、政策金利を0%に据え置きました。しかしながら、SNBは中東紛争の影響でスイス経済の見通しが「著しく不確実になった」と指摘しました。 「中東情勢の悪化に伴うエネルギー価格の上昇により、今後数四半期でインフレ率はさらに上昇する可能性が高い。そのため、短期的な条件付きインフレ率予測は2025年12月時点よりも高くなる。中期的なインフレ率予測は、スイスフラン高の影響で若干低くなる」と、中央銀行は当時述べていました。 「中東情勢の緊迫化を受け、スイス国立銀行(SNB)は為替市場への介入意欲を高めている。SNBは、スイスフランの急速かつ過度な上昇を抑制し、スイス国内の物価安定を脅かす事態を防ぐため、こうした措置を講じている。」 スイス中央銀行の次回の金融政策決定会合は6月18日に予定されている。
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