FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

澳洲消費者信心在通膨預期上升的背景下下降

-- 澳新銀行(ANZ)週二公佈的數據顯示,截至4月13日至19日當週,澳新銀行-羅伊摩根澳洲消費者信心指數下跌0.2點至64.3。 四周移動平均值則上升0.3點至62.5。 澳新銀行經濟學家索菲亞·安加拉(Sophia Angala)表示,受疲軟的經濟情緒抵消了穩定的勞動力市場狀況的影響,澳洲消費者信心在報告期間基本保持不變,仍處於1973年以來的第四低水平。同時,燃油價格上漲和消費者信心疲軟預計將抑制消費支出。 安加拉補充道,澳洲儲備銀行(RBA)副總裁豪瑟(Hauser)上週表示,澳洲的通膨率仍然過高,並強調了維持預期穩定的重要性。這進一步強化了我們對澳儲行可能在5月升息25個基點的看法。 每週通膨預期從6.7%小幅上升至7.1%,而12個月的當前金融狀況指標上升5.8點至58.4。未來12個月的金融狀況指標從76.4下降至75.3。 未來一年的短期經濟信心下降2.8點至51.3,而未來五年的中期經濟信心從76.7下降至72.9。 「購買大型家用物品的時機」子類別上升1點至63.7。

Related Articles

Asia

Fortescue Faces Pressure From Iron Bridge Weakness, Green Energy Shift, Jefferies Says

Fortescue (ASX:FMG) reported softer quarterly performance alongside ongoing challenges at Iron Bridge and increased spending on non-core green energy projects, raising concerns over returns and valuation, Jefferies said in an April 24 note.The company reported a softer quarter due to seasonal and weather impacts, with solid performance from its Pilbara hematite operations offset by ongoing underperformance at the Iron Bridge magnetite project, which continues to face throughput and margin challenges and may struggle to justify its value.Jefferies noted that the company's $680 million investment in green energy capacity for third-party customers, such as industrial users and data centers, represents a strategic shift, but views it as non-core capital allocation that may justify a higher discount rate for its mining business until clearer returns emerge.The equity research firm said that the company's Pilbara system is nearing port capacity constraints, a "good problem" that may allow higher-margin hematite production to displace costlier Iron Bridge volumes, as the company reviews its portfolio, trims Iron Bridge output, and keeps overall shipment guidance broadly unchanged.The research firm added that the company remains financially solid with $4.2 billion in cash despite dividends and capital expenditure outflows and is expected to return to a net cash position longer term, but highlighted Iron Bridge uncertainty and higher green energy spending as risks, including a potential write-down, supporting a cautious outlook.Jefferies maintained an underperform rating on Fortescue and reduced the price target to AU$16.50 from AU$17.50.

$ASX:FMG
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Otis Worldwide Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We cut our 12-month target to $90 from $100 following Q1 earnings, valuing OTIS shares at 19.6x our 2027 EPS outlook of $4.58 (down from $4.70; 2026 EPS view updated to $4.18 from $4.25), a modest discount to industrial machinery peers' and OTIS's five-year forward multiple average given unclear timing of ongoing margin headwinds. Service margins were disappointing in Q1 (contracting 160 bps to 23%) amid higher labor and material costs that came in above pricing. Weakness in China has yet to stabilize, though as noted in the past, this represents a shrinking area of OTIS's portfolio and will have a more limited effect going forward. Overall, the latest quarter was more of the same (China weakness/New Equipment decline), though with the added concern of margin quality being pressured within Service - the core profit driver for OTIS overall. While efforts to shore up profitability are underway, we see timing of recovery being uncertain.

$OTIS
Asia Markets

Saudi Shares Start Week Higher; US-Iran Peace Talks Canceled

The Tadawul All Share Index closed Sunday 0.11% higher as investors assessed the latest updates regarding the conflict in the Middle East.US President Donald Trump said on his Truth Social account that the Pakistani trip for his envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, was canceled. The announcement dimmed the hopes for peace talks between Iran and the US to happen any time soon.Further to this, Israel launched an attack in Lebanon on April 25. The strikes, which targeted Hezbollah, resulted in four casualties and facility damage in Southern Lebanon.Back at home, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (SASE:2380), d/b/a Petro Rabigh, and Thob Al Aseel (SASE:4012) posted their financial results for the three months ended March 31. Petro Rabigh emerged from a loss in the first quarter, while Thob Al Aseel logged a higher net profit and revenue."The reason for net profit reported during the current quarter compared to a net loss recorded in the same quarter of last year was primarily attributable to improved product margins resulting from stronger refined product pricing and higher sales volumes," Petro Rabigh said in its report.Petro Rabigh rose 10% at closing, while Thob Al Aseel ticked down 1.59%.Meanwhile, the local calendar will be mostly empty except for the kingdom's preliminary figures for its GDP growth rate for the first quarter and the M3 money supply and private bank lending data for March on Thursday.

$^TASI$SASE:2380$SASE:4012