-- 根据澳新银行(ANZ)周三发布的报告,新西兰第一季度失业率预计将维持在5.4%的稳定水平,略低于此前预测的5.5%。 报告指出,澳新银行将季度就业增长预期上调0.1个百分点至0.3%,3月份就业增长势头似乎比预期更为强劲。 即将公布的带薪工时和实际工时数据或许能反映出第一季度GDP环比增长0.8%预期面临的风险,但由于劳动力市场通常是最后一个对经济环境变化做出反应的行业,因此近期石油危机的影响可能尚未显现。 预计第一季度劳动力市场数据显示,市场拥有足够的过剩产能,足以缓冲近期石油危机的影响,从而降低劳动力成本在短期内推高通胀的风险。
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