-- 澳新银行研究部周五发布的一份报告称,预计新西兰3月份季度的年通胀率将放缓0.2个百分点至2.9%,略高于此前预测的2.8%,但略低于新西兰储备银行(RBNZ)4月份预测的3%。 定于4月21日发布的第一季度消费者价格指数数据将反映出中东冲突的一些初步影响,但通胀影响将在第二季度更加显著。如果燃油价格的急剧上涨持续在当前水平附近,那么6月份季度的消费者价格指数将录得更大的季度涨幅。 澳新银行预计核心通胀指标将保持在1%至3%的目标区间内,加权中位数、30%截尾均值以及剔除食品、燃料和能源价格后的通胀指标预计将落在2%左右的0.3%区间内。 澳新银行表示,可以合理推断,中期通胀前景的不确定性将是货币政策委员会5月份的主要关注点。
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