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澳新銀行預計澳洲第一季經調整後的平均消費者物價指數(CPI)將季增0.9%。

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-- 澳新銀行(ANZ)週五發布的報告顯示,澳洲第一季經調整後的平均通膨率符合預期,季增0.9%,年增3.6%。 該行預計,消費者物價通膨率季增1.4%,年增4.1%。 澳新銀行表示,整體通膨率與經調整後的平均通膨率之間的差異部分反映了3月份燃油價格上漲的影響。該行預計3月汽車燃油價格將季增35%,導致3月整體通膨率較上季上漲1.2%。 澳新銀行預計,燃油價格上漲的第二輪傳導效應將從4月開始對消費者通膨產生更顯著的影響。 澳新銀行補充道,季度數據可能證實澳洲儲備銀行先前的判斷,即在2月底中東衝突升級之前,澳洲經濟中已存在明顯的潛在通膨壓力。 澳新銀行繼續預期央行將在 5 月升息 25 個基點,使現金利率達到 4.35%。

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