-- 根據澳新銀行(ANZ)週三發布的報告,紐西蘭第一季失業率預計將維持在5.4%的穩定水平,略低於先前預測的5.5%。 報告指出,澳新銀行將季度就業成長預期上調0.1個百分點至0.3%,3月就業成長動能似乎比預期更為強勁。 即將公佈的受薪工時和實際工時數據或許能反映出第一季GDP環比成長0.8%預期面臨的風險,但由於勞動力市場通常是最後一個對經濟環境變化做出反應的行業,因此近期石油危機的影響可能尚未顯現。 預計第一季勞動力市場數據顯示,市場擁有足夠的過剩產能,足以緩衝近期石油危機的影響,降低勞動力成本在短期內推高通膨的風險。
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