-- 澳新銀行研究部週五發布的一份報告稱,預計紐西蘭3月份季度的年通膨率將放緩0.2個百分點至2.9%,略高於先前預測的2.8%,但略低於新西蘭儲備銀行(RBNZ)4月份預測的3%。 定於4月21日發布的第一季消費者物價指數數據將反映出中東衝突的一些初步影響,但通膨影響將在第二季更加顯著。如果燃油價格的急劇上漲持續在當前水準附近,那麼6月份季度的消費者物價指數將錄得更大的季度漲幅。 澳新銀行預計核心通膨指標將維持在1%至3%的目標區間內,加權中位數、30%截尾平均值以及剔除食品、燃料和能源價格後的通膨指標預計將落在2%左右的0.3%區間內。 澳新銀行表示,可以合理推斷,中期通膨前景的不確定性將是貨幣政策委員會5月的主要關注點。
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