-- 根据周三发布的新闻稿,泰国央行货币政策委员会一致投票决定维持政策利率在1%不变,这与分析师的预期相符。 委员会表示,由于中东冲突推高成本、削弱家庭购买力并增加经济前景的不确定性,泰国经济预计将放缓。 尽管早前数据显示,在内需和出口的支撑下,经济增长强于预期,但由于战争的影响,目前预计2026年GDP增速将放缓至1.5%,2027年将放缓至2.0%。 私人消费预计将受到生活成本上升和收入下降的压力,同时游客数量也可能减少。然而,全球对科技产品的需求预计将继续支撑出口增长。泰国央行表示,预计2026年通胀率平均为2.9%,随着供应压力的缓解,2027年将降至1.5%。
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