-- 美国政府周四公布的数据显示,每周首次申请失业救济人数增幅超出预期,而持续申领失业救济人数基本符合华尔街的预期。 美国劳工部表示,截至4月18日当周,经季节性调整后的首次申请失业救济人数较前一周平均水平增加6000人,达到21.4万人(前一周平均水平已向上调整1000人)。彭博社此前的调查显示,市场普遍预期为21万人。 四周移动平均值为210750人,较前一周修正后的平均值增加750人。 杰富瑞首席美国经济学家托马斯·西蒙斯周四在一份报告中表示:“我们仍然认为,伊朗冲突不太可能对美国劳动力市场造成重大冲击。” “由于各类大宗商品可能出现短缺,全球经济中存在许多脆弱环节,短期内面临风险。但无论好坏,美国经济很可能成为全球最能抵御冲击的经济。” 经季节性调整后,截至4月11日当周的持续申领失业救济人数达到182万,基本符合华尔街的预期。据美国劳工部统计,持续申领失业救济人数较前一周增加1.2万人。四周移动平均值增加1250人,达到约181万人。 “过去几个月,持续申领失业救济人数大致呈锯齿状波动,但这一趋势低于2025年下半年和2024年初的水平,”西蒙斯表示。 美国总统唐纳德·特朗普本周早些时候延长了与伊朗的停火协议,但他表示将继续对伊朗港口实施海上封锁。华盛顿和德黑兰之间第二轮会谈的进展情况仍然不明朗。
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