-- 週二,歐洲天然氣期貨價格漲跌互現,此前有報道稱,在美國總統唐納德·特朗普“自由計劃”啟動首日,霍爾木茲海峽發生導彈襲擊事件。 由於五月初的銀行假日,市場週一休市,荷蘭TTF近月合約下跌0.86%,至每兆瓦時47.73歐元(55.81美元);英國NBP期貨上漲4.52%,至每兆瓦時116.99便士(1.59美元)。 週一,伊朗襲擊了一艘隸屬於阿聯酋阿布達比國家石油公司(ADNOC)的國有航運公司,當時該船正途經霍爾木茲海峽,這標誌著衝突危險升級。 同時,美國中央司令部司令布拉德·庫珀海軍上將週一表示,他們已與「數十艘船舶和航運公司」聯繫,以鼓勵船隻通過這條具有重要戰略意義的水道。 「我們對這項防禦任務的支持對於區域安全和全球經濟至關重要,同時我們也將繼續維持海上封鎖,」他說。 伊朗外交部長賽義德·阿巴斯·阿拉格奇在X網站上發帖指出,“政治危機沒有軍事解決方案”,並將川普的“自由計劃”稱為“僵局計劃”。 據霍爾木茲海峽監測機構稱,過去24小時內,海峽交通量有所增加,共有12艘船隻通過。然而,這一數字仍遠低於通常的日均138艘。 澳新銀行高級大宗商品策略師丹尼爾·海恩斯表示,全球液化天然氣出口量已降至近兩年來的最低水平,同時指出,卡達的出口量下降已被美國和加拿大出口量的增長部分抵消。 這對歐洲市場來說是一個關鍵時刻,因為該地區正開始從枯竭的水平補充天然氣庫存,根據歐洲天然氣基礎設施協會的數據,目前的庫存水準僅為產能的 33.79%,而一年前同期為 40.73%。
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