-- 儘管美國總統川普近期宣布計劃護送船隻通過霍爾木茲海峽,但歐洲天然氣期貨週一仍上漲。 荷蘭TTF近月合約上漲1.69%,至每兆瓦時46.54歐元(54.49美元),而英國NBP合約則因五月初的銀行假日休市。 川普週六在Truth Social網站上發文稱,美軍將「盡一切努力」確保滯留在波斯灣的船隻和船員安全離開海峽。川普稱此舉為“自由計劃”,並表示該計劃將於週一早上啟動。 然而,歐洲天然氣價格持續上漲,荷蘭國際集團(ING)分析師指出,“市場似乎並不看好該計劃”,尤其因為該計劃對恢復入境交通幾乎沒有幫助。報告稱,這只能起到「暫時緩解」的作用,允許浮動儲氣罐離開海灣。 同時,據塔斯尼姆通訊社報道,伊朗已收到美國對其最新提議的回應。德黑蘭提出的14點和平計畫呼籲兩國在未來30天內結束敵對行動。然而,美國尚未正式確認已對此提議作出回應。 此外,澳新銀行高級大宗商品策略師丹尼爾·海恩斯表示,由於目前正值“淡季”,全球天然氣市場的供應擔憂有所緩解。他也指出,這種平靜期讓市場有了一些喘息空間,可以更好地評估持續中斷的影響。 據霍爾木茲海峽監測機構稱,佔全球液化天然氣(LNG)流量五分之一的霍爾木茲海峽已連續第十週處於實際上的關閉狀態,過去24小時內僅有12艘船隻通過。 同時,據歐洲天然氣基礎設施協會稱,進入天然氣補給季之際,歐洲天然氣庫存仍不足,僅為產能的 33.42%,去年同期為 40.29%。
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