-- 週四,受美國總統川普在霍爾木茲海峽最新升級行動的影響,歐洲天然氣期貨價格上漲超過2%。 荷蘭TTF近月合約上漲2.19%,至每兆瓦時44.50歐元(52.03美元);英國NBP期貨上漲2.29%,至每熱量單位110.92便士(1.49美元)。 川普週四在Truth Social網站上發文稱,他已下令美國海軍「擊沉任何在具有重要戰略意義的霍爾木茲海峽布雷的船隻」。 川普指出,伊朗海軍的所有艦艇都已被擊沉,美國海軍的掃雷艦艇也已開始清理海峽。 然而,根據《華盛頓郵報》報道,根據美國五角大廈提交給國會的報告,五角大廈本身評估預計,至少需要六個月的時間才能徹底清除海峽中的水雷。 同時,霍爾木茲海峽的交通再次陷入停滯,據霍爾木茲海峽監測機構稱,過去24小時內僅有五艘船隻通過。 此前,伊朗軍隊於週三扣押了兩艘經過該海峽的船隻,理由是違反規定並操縱導航系統。 這些事態發展正值歐洲進入天然氣回注季之際,而歐洲的天然氣庫存卻大幅下降,僅為產能的30.70%,而去年同期為37.32%。 同時,挪威作為歐洲主要的天然氣供應來源,其3月的日產量為123.4億立方英尺,較2月下降1.6%,年減0.8%,也比預期低0.5%。挪威近海管理局的數據顯示,這進一步加劇了供應緊張的局面。
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