-- 週三,歐洲天然氣期貨價格上漲,此前有報導美國總統川普暗示將延長對伊朗的封鎖。 荷蘭TTF近月合約上漲2.31%,至每兆瓦時44.60歐元(52.19美元);英國NBP合約上漲2.44%,至每熱量單位109.99便士(1.48美元)。 根據《華爾街日報》引述知情美國官員的消息報道,川普不僅沒有結束該地區的敵對行動,反而要求助理準備延長對伊朗港口的封鎖,以加大對德黑蘭的經濟壓力。 週二,川普在Truth Social網站上發文稱,伊朗已告知美國,伊朗正處於“崩潰狀態”,並渴望重新開放霍爾木茲海峽。然而,伊朗方面尚未對此證實。 同時,具有重要戰略意義的霍爾木茲海峽已連續第九週處於事實上的關閉狀態。該海峽佔全球液化天然氣(LNG)運輸量的五分之一。根據霍爾木茲海峽監測機構(Hormuz Strait Monitor)的數據顯示,過去24小時內僅有五艘船通過。 彭博社引述船舶追蹤數據報道稱,週二,一艘LNG運輸船自衝突爆發以來近兩個月來首次成功通過該海峽。 然而,澳新銀行(ANZ)高級大宗商品策略師丹尼爾·海恩斯(Daniel Hynes)表示,歐洲在「下一個冬季到來之前補充枯竭的天然氣儲備」方面仍然面臨挑戰。 他指出,過去五年,區域天然氣儲備通常在暖氣季開始時達到80%至100%的滿載狀態。但根據歐洲天然氣基礎設施協會(Gas Infrastructure Europe)的數據,此次庫存僅為總容量的31.97%,隨著成本攀升和供應限制持續存在,該地區面臨嚴峻的補充挑戰。
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