-- 週五,伊朗宣布霍爾木茲海峽對商船「完全開放」後,原油價格大幅下跌。 近月穆爾班原油期貨價格下跌超過8%,至每桶93.46美元;布蘭特原油期貨價格下跌超過10%,至每桶89.19美元。 「根據黎巴嫩停火協議,在剩餘的停火期內,所有商船均可完全通過霍爾木茲海峽,按照伊朗伊斯蘭共和國港口和海事組織先前宣布的協調航線通行。」阿拉格奇在X網站上發文表示。 川普週四表示,伊朗“希望達成協議”,這表明兩國談判可能會取得進展。 川普在白宮外對記者發表講話時分享了上述言論,此前不久,他還在Truth Social網站上發布了關於以色列和黎巴嫩之間為期10天的停火協議的消息。 然而,由於歐佩克產量處於20年來的最低水平,且霍爾木茲海峽實際上已被封鎖,專家警告稱,全球能源復甦可能需要長達兩年的時間。 儘管外交上樂觀情緒高漲,以色列和黎巴嫩也達成了新的10天停火協議,但據報道,國際能源總署警告稱,如果中東航運封鎖持續下去,歐洲將在六週內面臨航空燃油價格暴跌。 儘管有關達成協議的傳言四起,但霍爾木茲海峽仍處於封鎖狀態,原油滯留在海上,價格甚至高於戰前平均。
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