-- 週四,原油期貨價格上漲超過3%,因為市場正在評估德黑蘭方面指責美國已違反為期兩週的停火協議。 近月穆爾班原油期貨合約上漲3.7%,至每桶101.22美元。布蘭特原油期貨合約上漲3.8%,至每桶98.33美元。 荷蘭國際集團(ING)分析師指出:“由於中東戰事持續,停火前景惡化,霍爾木茲海峽局勢的不確定性持續存在,油價因此反彈。” 在上個交易日跌破100美元後,由於脆弱的停火協議立即面臨違反協議的指控,油價今天反彈。 荷蘭國際集團(ING)分析師表示:“在德黑蘭方面表示協議的幾項條款已被違反後,人們對停火的樂觀情緒消退。” 伊朗議會議長穆罕默德·巴格爾·加利巴夫在社群媒體上表示,美國已經違反了德黑蘭提出的十點框架。 加利巴夫週三在X網站上發文稱,華盛頓違反了伊朗提出的十點方案中的三個條款。 他列舉了美國違反黎巴嫩停火協議、美國無人機入侵伊朗領空以及否認伊朗鈾濃縮權利等行為。 儘管達成了停火協議,但伍德麥肯茲的分析師表示,中東地區的油氣運輸仍需時日,許多步驟和流程可能需要數月才能完成。 荷蘭國際集團的分析師補充說:“由於短期內不太可能全面重新開放海峽,預計油價將繼續得到支撐,因為與減產和煉油廠停工相關的干擾需要時間才能消除。”
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