-- 週二,原油期貨價格回落,此前美國總統川普暗示將與德黑蘭重啟接觸,提振了市場對和平協議談判的預期,此前美國對伊朗實施新的海上封鎖導致油價上漲。 布蘭特原油期貨下跌1.6%,至每桶97.80美元,而穆爾班原油期貨價格堅挺每桶103.51美元。 儘管美國週一開始封鎖伊朗港口,但川普暗示將與德黑蘭重啟接觸,儘管先前有警告這將導致全球供應中斷創紀錄,但市場漲幅仍未能恢復。 澳新銀行分析師表示:“川普聲稱伊朗希望在周末和平談判破裂後達成協議,這導致原油價格在交易尾盤回吐了部分漲幅。” 他們補充說:“伊朗尚未證實任何進一步的討論。這表明金融市場仍在關注原油可能重返市場,而不是當前的衝突。” 川普並未就報道中的外交斡旋提供具體細節,分析人士稱,交易員已將達成長期停火的可能性計入價格。 然而,海上局勢依然動盪。美國海軍對伊朗港口的封鎖於美國東部時間週一上午10點正式開始,據報道,伊朗譴責此舉為「海盜行為」。 儘管期貨價格略有回落,但危機的實際規模仍然前所未有。 國際能源總署執行長法提赫·比羅爾週一警告稱,全球石油供應中斷已達每日1,300萬桶,並稱這是歷史上最大的能源安全威脅。
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