-- 週四,布蘭特原油期貨合約走強,交易員權衡了新的外交訊號和全球供應緊張的情況。 布蘭特原油期貨合約上漲0.6%,至每桶95.50美元。穆爾班原油4月15日收在每桶100.85美元,截至發稿時已停止交易。 分析師表示,儘管美國主導的封鎖繼續阻礙霍爾木茲海峽的航運,但即將舉行第二輪和平談判的消息有助於緩解近期的價格波動。 盛寶銀行分析師表示:“由於有跡象表明美國和伊朗可能延長停火併重啟旨在結束這場戰爭的談判,油價趨於穩定,布倫特原油價格維持在每桶95美元附近。這場戰爭已經導致波斯灣關鍵大宗商品的全球供應中斷。” 據報道,伊朗已提出允許商船安全通過霍爾木茲海峽內的阿曼水域,前提是達成更廣泛的協議以防止軍事衝突進一步升級。 彭博社週三發布的一份分析報告顯示,由於美伊兩國持續有效的封鎖措施擾亂了霍爾木茲海峽這一戰略水道的船舶通行,該海峽的航運量仍遠低於歷史平均水平。 荷蘭國際集團(ING)分析師表示:“市場面臨的主要上行風險在於美伊和平談判破裂。鑑於美伊雙方的要求仍然存在相當大的分歧,這種情況並非不切實際。” 供應方面,美國能源資訊署(EIA)週三發布的週報顯示,截至4月10日當週,美國原油庫存減少90萬桶,至4.638億桶。
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