-- 週五盤後交易中,受沙烏地阿拉伯供應中斷和霍爾木茲海峽持續擁擠的擔憂影響,歐洲、中東和非洲(EMEA)原油期貨走勢分化。伊朗與美國即將舉行會談。 布蘭特原油期貨上漲1.22%,至每桶97.17美元;穆爾班原油期貨下跌1.66%,至每桶97.97美元。 荷蘭國際集團(ING)策略師表示,由於對中東供應的新擔憂,原油價格連續第二個交易日上漲。 沙烏地阿拉伯週四表示,伊朗對其能源基礎設施的襲擊導致該國石油產能和東西輸油管輸送量分別減少了約60萬桶/日和70萬桶/日。 根據當地媒體報道,沙烏地阿拉伯能源部週四表示,伊朗持續襲擊能源基礎設施導致供應減少和恢復緩慢。科威特也表示,週五攔截了針對關鍵能源設施的無人機攻擊。 本週早些時候,美國能源資訊署表示,由於儲存能力趨緊,中東產油國3月關閉了約750萬桶/日的原油產量,預計4月停產量將增加至910萬桶/日。 川普總統加強了對德黑蘭的抨擊力度,加劇了市場悲觀情緒。他表示,伊朗“似乎沒有意識到他們已經沒有籌碼”,該國唯一的籌碼就是通過封鎖霍爾木茲海峽來施加短期壓力。 就在一天前,川普警告伊朗應該停止向過境這條戰略水道的船隻收取通行費,而周五油輪通行仍受到限制。 荷蘭國際集團(ING)分析師表示,儘管川普對解決這場持續六週的衝突持樂觀態度,但他卻威脅德黑蘭不要在霍爾木茲海峽收取費用。 最新的航運數據顯示,自4月8日停火生效以來,通過霍爾木茲海峽的船舶活動略有增加,但流量仍遠低於正常水準。 MarineTraffic表示,4月8日至9日共有14艘船通過霍爾木茲海峽,其中9艘於4月9日通過。 週五,伊朗議會議長穆罕默德·巴格爾·加利巴夫表示,在談判開始前,必須落實兩項已達成的行動:黎巴嫩停火和解凍伊朗被凍結的資產。 展望未來,市場參與者的關注點在於美伊停火能否持續,尤其是在周六於巴基斯坦伊斯蘭堡舉行的會談之前。 盛寶銀行策略師表示,霍爾木茲海峽的關閉仍是美伊官員會談前的一大重點。
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