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歐洲、中東和非洲地區石油市場動態:受川普關於霍爾木茲海峽安全風險言論影響,原油價格上漲

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-- 週四盤後交易中,歐洲、中東和非洲地區原油期貨價格上漲。此前,美國總統川普下令美國海軍「擊落」試圖在霍爾木茲海峽布雷的伊朗船隻。目前,美伊兩國仍對這條戰略水道的貿易往來實施限制。 布蘭特原油期貨上漲1.58%,至每桶103.47美元;穆爾班原油期貨上漲1.14%,至每桶104.29美元。 三菱日聯銀行(MUFG)研究分析師金秀珍(Soojin Kim)表示:“由於美伊和平談判破裂,以及圍繞霍爾木茲海峽的衝突持續升級,油價連續第四個交易日上漲。” 儘管應巴基斯坦的要求,川普延長了與伊朗的停火協議,但兩國仍限制船隻通過這項關鍵能源咽喉要道。在中東衝突爆發前,該海峽曾承載全球約20%的石油日供應量。 美國總統週四表示,他已下令美國海軍「擊落」在霍爾木茲海峽布雷的船隻,並聲稱華盛頓現在「完全控制」了該航道,同時指示軍方毫不猶豫地對伊朗小型船隻採取行動。 週四,美國戰爭部表示,其部隊在印度洋攔截了一艘受制裁的油輪,當時正從伊朗運載石油。這次攔截發生在一天前,當時美國封鎖了伊朗油輪「英雄二號」(M/V Hero II)、「海蒂號」(M/V Hedy)和「多雷納號」(M/V Dorena)。 美國戰爭部表示:“我們將繼續在全球範圍內開展海上執法行動,以打擊非法網絡,並攔截向伊朗提供物資支持的船隻,無論它們在何處活動。” 伊朗官員指責美國違反了伊朗在脆弱的停火協議開始時提出的十點框架下的承諾。伊朗議會議長兼首席談判代表穆罕默德·巴格爾·卡利巴夫表示,只有美國解除封鎖,全面停火才有意義。 根據當地媒體通報,伊朗議會副議長哈米德雷扎·哈吉·巴巴伊表示,從途經霍爾木茲海峽的船隻收取的首批通行費已存入伊朗中央銀行帳戶。 「因此,關鍵問題在於何時重新開放。市場可能正處於從『即將達成協議』到『這可能需要更長時間』的轉變邊緣,」瑞典商業銀行(SEB)首席大宗商品分析師比雅恩·希爾德羅普表示。 據報道,通行費因船隻類型、尺寸和貨物而異。媒體報道稱,收取的費用將存入一個統一帳戶,資金的使用方式將在稍後決定。 週三,伊朗伊斯蘭革命衛隊襲擊了三艘船隻,並將其中兩艘轉移至伊朗領海。根據MarineTraffic網站顯示,這兩艘船均由地中海航運公司(MSC)營運。 ING策略師表示,隨著希望的破滅,供應中斷的現實將會顯現,價格仍有進一步上漲的空間。

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