-- 週四,原油價格漲跌互現,投資人正在評估美伊第二輪會談的可能性。 近月穆爾班原油期貨下跌0.5%,至每桶100.38美元;布蘭特原油期貨上漲0.7%,至每桶95.61美元。 分析師表示,儘管美國主導的封鎖仍在繼續阻礙霍爾木茲海峽的航運,但即將舉行第二輪和平談判的消息有助於緩解近期的價格波動。 盛寶銀行分析師表示:“由於有跡象表明美伊可能延長停火併重啟旨在結束這場戰爭的談判,油價趨於穩定,布倫特原油價格維持在每桶95美元附近。這場戰爭已經導致波斯灣關鍵大宗商品的全球供應中斷。” 同時,據報道,伊朗已提出允許商船安全通過霍爾木茲海峽內的阿曼水域,前提是雙方達成更廣泛的協議,以防止軍事衝突進一步升級。 然而,荷蘭國際集團(ING)分析師表示:“市場面臨的主要上行風險在於美伊和平談判破裂。鑑於美伊雙方的要求仍然存在相當大的分歧,這種情況並非不切實際。” 彭博社週三的分析報告顯示,由於美伊之間的有效封鎖持續擾亂霍爾木茲海峽的航運,該海峽的航運量仍遠低於歷史平均值。 供應方面,美國能源資訊署(EIA)週三發布的週報顯示,截至4月10日當週,美國原油庫存減少90萬桶,至4.638億桶。
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