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歐洲、中東和非洲地區石油市場動態:原油價格上漲,交易員評估「自由計畫」項目

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-- 週一,原油期貨價格上漲,交易員對美國「自由計畫」(Project Freedom)能否恢復霍爾木茲海峽的正常貿易持懷疑態度。 近月穆爾班原油期貨上漲1.7%,至每桶105.49美元;布蘭特原油期貨上漲2.2%,至每桶110.59美元。 荷蘭國際集團(ING)表示:“儘管波斯灣局勢持續動盪,但新交易周伊始,市場走勢趨於穩定。” 美國宣布啟動“自由計劃”,旨在引導商船駛離霍爾木茲海峽,這一消息一度令市場情緒震盪。 然而,由於市場對該計劃的規模缺乏信心,最初的拋售很快就逆轉。 分析師指出,如果沒有美國海軍為進港船隻提供護航,此舉可能只是透過清理現有浮式儲油設施來暫時緩解擁堵,而無法恢復正常的貿易流動。 外交管道缺乏進展以及歐佩克+內部的變動進一步加劇了供應方面的擔憂。 儘管該組織宣布6月份增產18.8萬桶/日(這是自阿聯酋意外退出以來的首次會議),但市場專家懷疑全部增產量能否最終進入市場。 超過一半的增產計畫與目前受霍爾木茲海峽封鎖限制的波斯灣產油國有關。 據報道,川普總統稱伊朗最新的和平提議“不可接受”,而德黑蘭方面拒絕在解除港口封鎖前討論核問題,這些因素導致原油價格繼續存在顯著的風險溢價。

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