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歐洲、中東和非洲地區天然氣市場最新動態:霍爾木茲海峽緊張局勢持續升級,期貨價格上漲約2%。

-- 由於中東緊張局勢持續高漲,人們擔心經由霍爾木茲海峽的液化天然氣(LNG)運輸將長期中斷,歐洲天然氣期貨價格週五上漲。 荷蘭TTF近月合約上漲1.98%,至每兆瓦時45.37歐元(53.03美元);英國NBP期貨上漲2.29%,至每熱量單位113.43便士(1.52美元)。 美國總統川普週四在Truth Social網站上發文稱,他已下令美國海軍「擊沉任何在霍爾木茲海峽布雷的船隻」。 週五,伊朗總統馬蘇德·佩澤什基亞的副手伊斯梅爾·薩卡布·伊斯法哈尼警告稱,任何針對伊朗能源基礎設施的襲擊都將遭到對沙烏地阿拉伯的報復性打擊。 據《印度時報》報道,他表示:“我們的目標很明確;如果我們的任何油井遭到襲擊,我們將打擊沙烏地阿拉伯的某個石油區塊,並採取相應措施。” 同時,霍爾木茲海峽的交通實際上已經停滯,據霍爾木茲海峽監測機構稱,過去24小時內只有五艘船通過。 藍水戰略公司高級財務主管米歇爾·恩格拉爾警告說,“廉價、充足、政治中立的天然氣時代已經結束”,他列舉了卡塔爾拉斯拉凡液化天然氣設施受損、海峽交通長期中斷以及歐洲對美國液化天然氣供應的嚴重依賴等因素。 這一切都發生在歐洲進入天然氣回注季之際,而庫存卻大幅下降,根據歐洲天然氣基礎設施協會的數據,目前僅為產能的30.82%,而去年同期為37.54%。

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