-- 週四,歐洲天然氣期貨價格上漲近4%,原因是美伊關係持續存在不確定性,和平談判陷入僵局,脆弱的無限期停火協議以及對德黑蘭持續的海上封鎖令市場情緒緊張。 荷蘭TTF近月合約上漲3.96%,至每兆瓦時45.27歐元(52.98美元);英國NBP期貨上漲3.92%,至每熱量單位112.69便士(1.51美元)。 同時,中東緊張局勢持續升級。伊朗週三在霍爾木茲海峽扣押了兩艘船隻,隨後美國軍隊在印度洋攔截並改變了三艘懸掛伊朗國旗的船隻的航向。 此外,原定於本週稍早在巴基斯坦伊斯蘭堡舉行的第二輪與伊朗的和平談判被取消,美國總統川普宣布延長停火協議,但沒有設定具體期限。霍爾木茲海峽已連續第八週關閉,佔全球液化天然氣(LNG)流量20%的霍爾木茲海峽,據霍爾木茲海峽監測機構稱,過去24小時內僅有五艘船隻通過。 此時正值歐洲進入天然氣回注季,但庫存卻大幅下降,僅為產能的30.70%,去年同期為37.32%。 同時,挪威作為歐洲重要的天然氣供應來源,其3月的日產量為123.4億立方英尺,較2月下降1.6%,年減0.8%,也比預期低0.5%。挪威海上油氣管理局的數據顯示,這進一步加劇了供應緊張的局面。
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