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歐洲、中東和非洲地區天然氣市場最新動態:川普拒絕伊朗提議後,天然氣期貨價格上漲近1%

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-- 週四,在美國總統川普拒絕伊朗開放霍爾木茲海峽的提議後,歐洲天然氣期貨價格上漲。 荷蘭TTF近月合約上漲0.80%,至每兆瓦時47.24歐元(55.21美元);英國NBP合約上漲0.68%,至每熱量單位116.53便士(1.57美元)。 據報道,川普週三告訴Axios,他拒絕了伊朗本週稍早提出的開放海峽的提議,該提議涉及推遲兩國之間的核談判。川普也表示,對德黑蘭的海上封鎖將持續,直到伊朗政權同意一項能夠解決美國對其核子計畫所有關切的協議。 同時,據Axios引述知情人士消息稱,美國中央司令部正在準備對伊朗發動「短暫而有力」的打擊,旨在打破目前的僵局。 儘管該地區過去幾週曾寄望於結束敵對行動,但這場衝突仍標誌著局勢的重大升級。 根據霍爾木茲海峽監測機構(Hormuz Strait Monitor)的數據顯示,具有重要戰略意義的霍爾木茲海峽已連續第九週關閉,過去24小時內僅有13艘船隻通過。 殼牌公司(SHEL)執行長瓦埃勒·薩萬(Wael Sawan)週三在接受彭博社採訪時警告稱,衝突造成的石油和液化天然氣短缺可能會持續數月,甚至可能延續到明年。 澳新銀行(ANZ)高級大宗商品策略師丹尼爾·海恩斯(Daniel Hynes)指出,這對歐洲來說將是一個問題,「因為歐洲正在為下一個供暖季補充空置的儲氣庫」。 根據歐洲天然氣基礎設施協會(Gas Infrastructure Europe)的數據,歐洲已開始在庫存水準大幅下降的情況下重新註入天然氣,目前僅佔總容量的32.23%,去年同期為38.96%。

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